---
title: "The Graphic Design case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Graphic Design ($2.69) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.67% from 7 items with odds, observed 125.68% over 22 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegraphicdesign
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:38Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [The Graphic Design](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegraphicdesign)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · The Graphic Design

A case on csgo.net (Collection), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegraphicdesign?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegraphicdesign?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegraphicdesign) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegraphicdesign?window=all)

Price · $2.69

Advertised RTP · 76.67% · EV $2.06 from 7 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 125.68% · 22 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 100.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 20 openings · below min

30 days · 22 openings · below min

since tracking started · 22 openings · below min

77.0% 119.5% 162.0%

**Small sample.** 22 openings and 11.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegraphicdesign?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegraphicdesign?window=7d) | 20 | 127.30% ±34.1 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegraphicdesign) | 22 | 125.68% ±32.6 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegraphicdesign?window=all) | 22 | 125.68% ±32.6 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 22 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-field-tested) | 1 in 9,896 | $110 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-field-tested) | 1 in 5,625 | $30.02 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Lil' Pig (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lil-pig-field-tested) | 1 in 2,643 | $20.41 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Polysoup (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-field-tested) | 1 in 159 | $7.99 | 2.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [P90 \| Attack Vector (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-attack-vector-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $5.22 | 6.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Slalom (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-slalom-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $3.88 | 12.7% | 6 | 1.5 | 4.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-field-tested) | 90.0% | $1.77 | 77.2% | 4 | 19.8 | 0.20× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=thegraphicdesign)

[AUG | Lil' Pig (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lil-pig-field-tested) [23](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/23) $2.69 $21.11 7.85x 2026-11-10 12:04 UTC

[AK-47 | Crossfade (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-field-tested) [robert.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/robert.) $2.69 $1.75 0.65x 2026-11-09 19:53 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-wild-berry-field-tested) [g0\_0se](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/g0_0se) $2.69 $1.17 0.43x 2026-11-09 07:36 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-wild-berry-field-tested) [シ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E3%82%B7) $2.69 $1.04 0.39x 2026-11-08 12:29 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-wild-berry-field-tested) [シ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E3%82%B7) $2.69 $1.04 0.39x 2026-11-08 12:29 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-slalom-field-tested) [シ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E3%82%B7) $2.69 $3.90 1.45x 2026-11-08 12:29 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-slalom-field-tested) [シ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E3%82%B7) $2.69 $3.90 1.45x 2026-11-08 12:28 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-wild-berry-field-tested) [シ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E3%82%B7) $2.69 $1.04 0.39x 2026-11-08 12:28 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-wild-berry-field-tested) [シ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E3%82%B7) $2.69 $1.03 0.38x 2026-11-07 17:11 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-slalom-field-tested) [oriDGi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/oriDGi) $2.69 $4.13 1.54x 2026-11-06 22:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $2.69 | 76.67% | 7 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.69 | 76.56% | 8 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.69 | 76.34% | 9 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.69 | 76.29% | 13 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.69 | 76.61% | 9 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.69 | 76.97% | 8 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.69 | 76.95% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.69 | 76.98% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.69 | 77.08% | 9 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.69 | 77.06% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.69 | 77.59% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.69 | 77.52% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.69 | 77.43% | 8 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.45% | 8 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.45% | 8 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.69 | 77.57% | 8 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.49% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.57% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.52% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.41% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.51% | 8 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.69 | 77.38% | 8 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.60% | 8 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.69 | 78.05% | 8 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.69 | 78.01% | 7 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.88% | 7 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.45% | 8 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.51% | 8 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.69 | 77.56% | 8 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.69 | 77.52% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed red 0.0% rare 0.0% uncommon 9.3% Mythical 0.6% blue 90.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.67 on average: an expected loss of $23.33 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt