---
title: "TheGreenLegendTV case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "TheGreenLegendTV ($4.49) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.98% from 39 items with odds, observed 73.00% over 906 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegreenlegendtv
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [TheGreenLegendTV](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegreenlegendtv)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · TheGreenLegendTV

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegreenlegendtv?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegreenlegendtv?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegreenlegendtv) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegreenlegendtv?window=all)

Price · $4.49

Advertised RTP · 75.98% · EV $3.41 from 39 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 73.00% · 906 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 91.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 58 openings · below min

7 days · 73.44% ±5.91 730 openings

30 days · 73.00% ±5.26 906 openings

since tracking started · 73.00% ±5.26 906 openings

37.5% 58.8% 80.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegreenlegendtv?window=24h) | 58 | 58.49% ±20.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegreenlegendtv?window=7d) | 730 | 73.44% ±5.91 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegreenlegendtv) | 906 | 73.00% ±5.26 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thegreenlegendtv?window=all) | 906 | 73.00% ±5.26 | −1.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 906 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 155,791 | $241 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 110,024 | $170 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 89,152 | $147 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 70,970 | $130 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37,285 | $96.97 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 35,839 | $95.42 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 34,547 | $94.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 20,654 | $77.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,538 | $76.88 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,381 | $70.73 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 14,084 | $66.97 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,851 | $51.91 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 6,637 | $51.34 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 5,504 | $48.11 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,414 | $44.58 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 4,298 | $44.17 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,022 | $39.13 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 2,737 | $37.82 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 2,525 | $36.79 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-field-tested) | 1 in 1,411 | $30.12 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 1,083 | $27.49 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 421 | $19.76 | 1.4% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 347 | $18.46 | 1.6% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 233 | $15.98 | 2.0% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.51× |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 223 | $15.74 | 2.1% | 2 | 4.1 | 0.49× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $12.26 | 3.1% | 7 | 7.9 | 0.88× |
| [AUG \| Carved Jade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-carved-jade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 75 | $10.35 | 4.1% | 11 | 12.1 | 0.91× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $5.48 | 7.9% | 43 | 44.4 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $4.15 | 8.5% | 75 | 63.2 | 1.19× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $3.85 | 8.4% | 76 | 67.7 | 1.12× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $3.63 | 8.3% | 78 | 71.0 | 1.10× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $3.37 | 8.1% | 80 | 74.5 | 1.07× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $3.00 | 7.7% | 92 | 78.8 | 1.17× |
| [MAC-10 \| Malachite (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-malachite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $2.97 | 7.6% | 2 | 79.1 | 0.03× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Urban Shock (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $2.50 | 6.6% | 52 | 81.9 | 0.63× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $1.95 | 5.0% | 85 | 79.7 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.77 | 4.4% | 38 | 77.1 | 0.49× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.71 | 4.2% | 98 | 76.0 | 1.29× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $1.71 | 4.2% | 22 | 76.1 | 0.29× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=thegreenlegendtv)

[AWP | PAW (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-field-tested) [nuts \<6atya>](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nuts%20%3C6atya%3E) $4.49 $2.01 0.45x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC

[AWP | Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) [♠mytra♠](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%99%A0mytra%E2%99%A0) $4.49 $2.90 0.65x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

[AWP | Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) [gggdanli9](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/gggdanli9) $4.49 $3.67 0.82x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) [TanZero](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/TanZero) $4.49 $1.71 0.38x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) [NURASSYL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/NURASSYL) $4.49 $1.74 0.39x 2026-11-11 19:44 UTC

[AWP | PAW (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-field-tested) [NURASSYL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/NURASSYL) $4.49 $1.98 0.44x 2026-11-11 19:44 UTC

[Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) [NURASSYL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/NURASSYL) $4.49 $1.74 0.39x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC

[AWP | Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) [嫉妒Moutty](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E5%AB%89%E5%A6%92Moutty) $4.49 $2.90 0.65x 2026-11-11 19:26 UTC

[MAC-10 | Malachite (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-malachite-minimal-wear) [MORIARTI](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MORIARTI) $4.49 $1.82 0.41x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC

[SG 553 | Integrale (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-well-worn) [MORIARTI](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/MORIARTI) $4.49 $3.36 0.75x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $4.49 | 75.98% | 39 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $4.49 | 75.78% | 39 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $4.49 | 75.61% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $4.49 | 75.60% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $4.49 | 75.91% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $4.49 | 76.25% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $4.49 | 76.26% | 39 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $4.49 | 76.24% | 39 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $4.49 | 76.29% | 39 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $4.49 | 76.35% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $4.49 | 76.77% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $4.49 | 76.77% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $4.49 | 76.73% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $4.49 | 76.73% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $4.49 | 76.76% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $4.49 | 76.77% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $4.49 | 76.80% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $4.49 | 76.73% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $4.49 | 76.77% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $4.49 | 76.81% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $4.49 | 76.77% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $4.49 | 76.68% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $4.49 | 76.82% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $4.49 | 77.21% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $4.49 | 77.20% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $4.49 | 77.10% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $4.49 | 76.79% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $4.49 | 76.89% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $4.49 | 76.86% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.49 | 76.89% | 37 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% sunny 0.0% Immortal 0.0% extraordinary 0.1% red 0.0% Covert 0.0% pink 17.0% classified 5.9% Ancient 0.1% blue 8.9% #d32ee6 0.9% Rare 1.3% Legendary 7.0% Mythical 16.3% restricted 33.4% #8847ff 9.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.98 on average: an expected loss of $24.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt