--- title: "Havoc case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Havoc ($2.19) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.85% from 19 items with odds, observed 899.54% over 1 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thehavoccollection rendered: 2026-11-11T20:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Havoc](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thehavoccollection) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Havoc A case on csgo.net (Collection), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thehavoccollection?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thehavoccollection?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thehavoccollection) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thehavoccollection?window=all) Price · $2.19 Advertised RTP · 73.85% · EV $1.62 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 899.54% · 1 openings, odds method Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 63.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 1 openings · below min 30 days · 1 openings · below min since tracking started · 1 openings · below min 74.5% 584.7% 1095.0% **Small sample.** 1 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thehavoccollection?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thehavoccollection?window=7d) | 1 | 899.54% ±194.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thehavoccollection) | 1 | 899.54% ±194.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thehavoccollection?window=all) | 1 | 899.54% ±194.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 198,275 | $540 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Hot Snakes (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-hot-snakes-field-tested) | 1 in 179,415 | $229 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 150,402 | $161 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-franklin-field-tested) | 1 in 44,884 | $73.47 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SG 553 \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 30,581 | $62.77 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Phoenix Blacklight (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-phoenix-blacklight-field-tested) | 1 in 28,930 | $61.41 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,090 | $19.43 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.0 | — | | [Negev \| Phoenix Stencil (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-phoenix-stencil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 889 | $18.12 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 475 | $14.62 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Tiger Pit (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-tiger-pit-field-tested) | 1 in 364 | $13.34 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Nova \| Rust Coat (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rust-coat-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $3.75 | 16.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Phoenix Marker (Field-Tested) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-phoenix-marker-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $3.45 | 18.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Houndstooth (Field-Tested) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-houndstooth-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $3.29 | 18.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [MP7 \| Vault Heist (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-vault-heist-field-tested) | 11.2% | $2.91 | 20.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Heist (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-heist-minimal-wear) | 16.1% | $0.65 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Phoenix Chalk (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-phoenix-chalk-field-tested) | 12.2% | $0.46 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M249 \| Predator (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-predator-field-tested) | 11.8% | $0.44 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-death-rattle-field-tested) | 11.6% | $0.43 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sawed-Off \| Clay Ambush (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-clay-ambush-field-tested) | 11.5% | $0.42 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=thehavoccollection) [Desert Eagle | Night Heist (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-minimal-wear) [BOOM GUY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/BOOM%20GUY) $2.19 $19.70 9.00x 2026-11-06 04:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $2.19 | 73.85% | 19 | | 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.19 | 73.68% | 19 | | 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.19 | 73.51% | 19 | | 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.19 | 73.52% | 19 | | 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.19 | 73.80% | 19 | | 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.19 | 74.12% | 19 | | 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.19 | 74.16% | 19 | | 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.19 | 74.12% | 19 | | 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.19 | 74.17% | 19 | | 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.19 | 74.26% | 19 | | 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.19 | 74.68% | 19 | | 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.19 | 74.62% | 19 | | 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.19 | 74.58% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.19 | 74.63% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.19 | 74.65% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.19 | 74.65% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.19 | 74.65% | 19 | | 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.19 | 74.64% | 19 | | 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.19 | 74.63% | 19 | | 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.19 | 74.65% | 19 | | 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.19 | 74.61% | 19 | | 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.19 | 74.57% | 19 | | 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.19 | 74.73% | 19 | | 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.19 | 75.00% | 19 | | 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.19 | 75.01% | 19 | | 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.19 | 74.95% | 19 | | 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.19 | 74.64% | 19 | | 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.19 | 74.70% | 19 | | 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.19 | 74.72% | 19 | | 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.19 | 74.72% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 2 17.6% covert 0.0% classified 0.0% Mythical 0.0% restricted 0.0% violet 0.0% mil spec 0.1% #4b69ff 0.4% Rare 0.2% Industrial Grade 7.2% Uncommon 11.2% Consumer Grade 51.6% consumer 11.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.85 on average: an expected loss of $26.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt