--- title: "Norse case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Norse ($80.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.63% from 10 items with odds, observed 118.99% over 113 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thenorsecollection rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Norse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thenorsecollection) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Norse A case on csgo.net (Collection), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thenorsecollection?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thenorsecollection?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thenorsecollection) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thenorsecollection?window=all) Price · $80.99 Advertised RTP · 76.63% · EV $62.06 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 118.99% · 113 openings, odds method Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 69.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 118.99% ±11.14 113 openings 30 days · 118.99% ±11.14 113 openings since tracking started · 118.99% ±11.14 113 openings 76.0% 138.0% 200.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 77.61% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (107.85% – 130.13%, 113 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thenorsecollection?window=24h) | 8 | 156.64% ±42.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thenorsecollection?window=7d) | 113 | 118.99% ±11.1 | +7.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thenorsecollection) | 113 | 118.99% ±11.1 | +7.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thenorsecollection?window=all) | 113 | 118.99% ±11.1 | +7.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 113 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 172,152 | $7,581 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 101 | $315 | 5.0% | 5 | 1.1 | 4.46× | | [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 79 | $288 | 5.9% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× | | [SCAR-20 \| Brass (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-minimal-wear) | 12.4% | $101 | 20.2% | 25 | 14.0 | 1.78× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-minimal-wear) | 15.9% | $82.05 | 21.1% | 20 | 18.0 | 1.11× | | [MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-field-tested) | 18.8% | $66.86 | 20.2% | 36 | 21.2 | 1.70× | | [XM1014 \| Frost Borre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-frost-borre-field-tested) | 19.0% | $65.75 | 20.1% | 20 | 21.4 | 0.93× | | [M4A1-S \| Moss Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-moss-quartz-field-tested) | 11.9% | $16.60 | 3.2% | 0 | 13.5 | 0.00× | | [MAG-7 \| Chainmail (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-chainmail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $13.49 | 2.2% | 0 | 11.2 | 0.00× | | [USP-S \| Pathfinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pathfinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $13.32 | 2.1% | 0 | 11.1 | 0.00× | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=thenorsecollection) [CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-minimal-wear) [ЗахарЗубрайло](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%97%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%97%D1%83%D0%B1%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%BB%D0%BE) $80.99 $82.09 1.01x 2026-11-11 11:45 UTC [MAC-10 | Copper Borre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-field-tested) [ЗахарЗубрайло](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%97%D0%B0%D1%85%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%97%D1%83%D0%B1%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%BB%D0%BE) $80.99 $66.86 0.83x 2026-11-11 09:00 UTC [MAC-10 | Copper Borre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-field-tested) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $80.99 $66.06 0.82x 2026-11-11 03:28 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) [VLIQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/VLIQ) $80.99 $315 3.89x 2026-11-11 03:21 UTC [XM1014 | Frost Borre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-frost-borre-field-tested) [Санёчек](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%91%D1%87%D0%B5%D0%BA) $80.99 $65.58 0.81x 2026-11-10 19:43 UTC [XM1014 | Frost Borre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-frost-borre-field-tested) [Санёчек](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%91%D1%87%D0%B5%D0%BA) $80.99 $65.58 0.81x 2026-11-10 19:43 UTC [MAC-10 | Copper Borre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-field-tested) [Санёчек](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%A1%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%91%D1%87%D0%B5%D0%BA) $80.99 $66.20 0.82x 2026-11-10 19:43 UTC [P90 | Astral Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-field-tested) [DaniDropper](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/DaniDropper) $80.99 $288 3.55x 2026-11-10 16:32 UTC [XM1014 | Frost Borre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-frost-borre-field-tested) [g0\_0se](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/g0_0se) $80.99 $66.26 0.82x 2026-11-09 11:09 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-minimal-wear) [g0\_0se](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/g0_0se) $80.99 $84.93 1.05x 2026-11-09 10:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $80.99 | 76.63% | 10 | | 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $80.99 | 76.46% | 9 | | 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $80.99 | 76.43% | 10 | | 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $80.99 | 76.73% | 10 | | 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $80.99 | 77.07% | 10 | | 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $80.99 | 77.08% | 10 | | 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $80.99 | 77.06% | 10 | | 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $80.99 | 77.12% | 9 | | 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $80.99 | 77.19% | 9 | | 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $80.99 | 77.62% | 9 | | 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $80.99 | 77.59% | 9 | | 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $80.99 | 77.59% | 9 | | 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $80.99 | 77.61% | 8 | | 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $80.99 | 77.61% | 9 | | 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $80.99 | 77.61% | 9 | | 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $80.99 | 77.62% | 9 | | 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $80.99 | 77.59% | 9 | | 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $80.99 | 77.61% | 9 | | 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $80.99 | 77.61% | 9 | | 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $80.99 | 77.61% | 9 | | 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $80.99 | 77.55% | 9 | | 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $80.99 | 77.67% | 9 | | 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $80.99 | 78.02% | 9 | | 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $80.99 | 78.03% | 9 | | 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $80.99 | 77.94% | 9 | | 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $80.99 | 77.62% | 9 | | 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $80.99 | 77.71% | 9 | | 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $80.99 | 77.71% | 9 | | 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $80.99 | 77.72% | 9 | | 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $80.99 | 77.69% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% restricted 2.3% Mil Spec Grade 12.4% mil spec 53.7% industrial 31.7% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.63 on average: an expected loss of $23.37 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt