---
title: "The Spy Tech Collection case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Spy Tech Collection ($2.09) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.95% from 11 items with odds, observed 91.04% over 218 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thespytechcollection
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [The Spy Tech Collection](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thespytechcollection)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · The Spy Tech Collection

A case on csgo.net (Collection), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thespytechcollection?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thespytechcollection?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thespytechcollection) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thespytechcollection?window=all)

Price · $2.09

Advertised RTP · 73.95% · EV $1.55 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.04% · 218 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 55.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 34 openings · below min

7 days · 86.31% ±19.37 140 openings

30 days · 91.04% ±15.68 218 openings

since tracking started · 91.04% ±15.68 218 openings

32.0% 73.8% 115.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 74.73% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (75.36% – 106.72%, 218 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thespytechcollection?window=24h) | 34 | 73.76% ±41.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thespytechcollection?window=7d) | 140 | 86.31% ±19.4 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thespytechcollection) | 218 | 91.04% ±15.7 | +2.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/thespytechcollection?window=all) | 218 | 91.04% ±15.7 | +2.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 218 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Ghost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 9,782 | $159 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| AUTOEXEC (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-autoexec-well-worn) | 1 in 8,619 | $82.14 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Fatal Glitch (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fatal-glitch-well-worn) | 1 in 760 | $19.26 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Spiral Glitch (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-spiral-glitch-well-worn) | 1 in 700 | $18.69 | 1.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Black Box (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-box-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $4.17 | 21.2% | 7 | 17.1 | 0.41× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Hydraulics (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hydraulics-well-worn) | 17.4% | $2.74 | 30.9% | 26 | 37.9 | 0.69× |
| [Nova \| Smart Gun (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-smart-gun-field-tested) | 18.9% | $2.59 | 31.7% | 35 | 41.2 | 0.85× |
| [AUG \| Signal Scanner (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-signal-scanner-field-tested) | 15.6% | $0.35 | 3.5% | 22 | 34.0 | 0.65× |
| [M4A4 \| Dark Operative (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-operative-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.33 | 3.2% | 15 | 32.6 | 0.46× |
| [MP9 \| Spy Prototype (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-spy-prototype-field-tested) | 14.2% | $0.31 | 2.9% | 13 | 31.0 | 0.42× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Monarch (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-monarch-well-worn) | 10.8% | $0.23 | 1.6% | 9 | 23.5 | 0.38× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=thespytechcollection)

[M4A4 | Dark Operative (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-operative-field-tested) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $2.09 $0.33 0.16x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hydraulics-well-worn) [Mashono4ka♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Mashono4ka%E2%99%BF) $2.09 $2.75 1.32x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-signal-scanner-field-tested) [❤𝓗𝓸𝓵𝓵𝔂❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9D%A4%F0%9D%93%97%F0%9D%93%B8%F0%9D%93%B5%F0%9D%93%B5%F0%9D%94%82%E2%9D%A4) $2.09 $0.35 0.17x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hydraulics-well-worn) [❤𝓗𝓸𝓵𝓵𝔂❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9D%A4%F0%9D%93%97%F0%9D%93%B8%F0%9D%93%B5%F0%9D%93%B5%F0%9D%94%82%E2%9D%A4) $2.09 $2.76 1.32x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hydraulics-well-worn) [❤𝓗𝓸𝓵𝓵𝔂❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9D%A4%F0%9D%93%97%F0%9D%93%B8%F0%9D%93%B5%F0%9D%93%B5%F0%9D%94%82%E2%9D%A4) $2.09 $2.76 1.32x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[Nova | Smart Gun (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-smart-gun-field-tested) [❤𝓗𝓸𝓵𝓵𝔂❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9D%A4%F0%9D%93%97%F0%9D%93%B8%F0%9D%93%B5%F0%9D%93%B5%F0%9D%94%82%E2%9D%A4) $2.09 $2.59 1.24x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC

[AWP | Black Box (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-box-field-tested) [❤𝓗𝓸𝓵𝓵𝔂❤](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%9D%A4%F0%9D%93%97%F0%9D%93%B8%F0%9D%93%B5%F0%9D%93%B5%F0%9D%94%82%E2%9D%A4) $2.09 $4.17 2.00x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC

[Nova | Smart Gun (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-smart-gun-field-tested) [【❖】](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E3%80%90%E2%9D%96%E3%80%91) $2.09 $2.58 1.23x 2026-11-11 06:44 UTC

[AWP | Black Box (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-box-field-tested) [wano](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/wano) $2.09 $4.17 2.00x 2026-11-11 02:08 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Monarch (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-monarch-well-worn) [wano](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/wano) $2.09 $0.25 0.12x 2026-11-11 02:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $2.09 | 73.95% | 11 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $2.09 | 73.75% | 11 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $2.09 | 73.62% | 11 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $2.09 | 73.61% | 11 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $2.09 | 73.88% | 11 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $2.09 | 74.20% | 11 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $2.09 | 74.20% | 11 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $2.09 | 74.18% | 11 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $2.09 | 74.20% | 11 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $2.09 | 74.23% | 11 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $2.09 | 74.67% | 11 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.09 | 74.69% | 11 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.09 | 74.68% | 11 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $2.09 | 74.70% | 11 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $2.09 | 74.76% | 11 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $2.09 | 74.75% | 11 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.09 | 74.70% | 11 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.09 | 74.71% | 11 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $2.09 | 74.65% | 11 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $2.09 | 74.68% | 11 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $2.09 | 74.75% | 11 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $2.09 | 74.62% | 11 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $2.09 | 74.76% | 11 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $2.09 | 75.06% | 11 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $2.09 | 75.09% | 11 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $2.09 | 75.05% | 11 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $2.09 | 74.78% | 11 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $2.09 | 74.75% | 11 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $2.09 | 74.71% | 11 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.09 | 74.79% | 11 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed red 0.0% classified 0.1% pink 0.1% restricted 26.8% #8847ff 17.4% Rare 29.8% blue 25.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.95 on average: an expected loss of $26.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt