---
title: "tN1R case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "tN1R ($0.67) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.94% from 28 items with odds, observed 84.02% over 1,837 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tn1r
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [tN1R](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tn1r)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · tN1R

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tn1r?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tn1r?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tn1r) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tn1r?window=all)

Price · $0.67

Advertised RTP · 75.94% · EV $0.51 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.02% · 1,837 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 26.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 77.12% ±9.36 371 openings

7 days · 81.58% ±4.63 1,544 openings

30 days · 84.02% ±4.27 1,837 openings

since tracking started · 84.02% ±4.27 1,837 openings

67.0% 78.0% 89.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 76.43% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (79.75% – 88.29%, 1,837 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tn1r?window=24h) | 371 | 77.12% ±9.36 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tn1r?window=7d) | 1,544 | 81.58% ±4.63 | +2.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tn1r) | 1,837 | 84.02% ±4.27 | +3.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tn1r?window=all) | 1,837 | 84.02% ±4.27 | +3.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,837 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 9,722 | $31.93 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-field-tested) | 1 in 8,983 | $20.17 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,943 | $15.29 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 6,506 | $11.98 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 6,440 | $11.87 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 1,727 | $5.72 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-field-tested) | 1 in 1,106 | $4.79 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-minimal-wear) | 1 in 926 | $4.48 | 1.0% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-field-tested) | 1 in 855 | $4.34 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.40× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-field-tested) | 1 in 285 | $2.88 | 2.0% | 8 | 6.4 | 1.24× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $1.12 | 6.8% | 81 | 56.3 | 1.44× |
| [M4A4 \| Turbine (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-turbine-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $1.05 | 7.1% | 80 | 63.2 | 1.26× |
| [SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-rapid-transit-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $1.04 | 7.1% | 82 | 64.2 | 1.28× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.92 | 7.5% | 97 | 76.1 | 1.28× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.70 | 7.7% | 127 | 103.1 | 1.23× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.67 | 7.6% | 14 | 106.4 | 0.13× |
| [MAC-10 \| Carnivore (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.44 | 5.8% | 58 | 122.4 | 0.47× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.40 | 5.2% | 93 | 121.4 | 0.77× |
| [Charm \| Hang Loose charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hang-loose) | 1 in 15 | $0.38 | 4.8% | 131 | 120.0 | 1.09× |
| [Charm \| Hot Hands charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-hands) | 1 in 15 | $0.37 | 4.7% | 159 | 119.6 | 1.33× |
| [Tec-9 \| Brother (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $0.37 | 4.7% | 79 | 119.3 | 0.66× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.35 | 4.4% | 115 | 117.6 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $0.34 | 4.3% | 49 | 117.1 | 0.42× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.30 | 3.6% | 61 | 110.8 | 0.55× |
| [Charm \| Lil' Zen charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-zen) | 1 in 17 | $0.28 | 3.1% | 71 | 105.9 | 0.67× |
| [Glock-18 \| Green Line (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-green-line-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.25 | 2.7% | 38 | 100.8 | 0.38× |
| [Tec-9 \| Red Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $0.25 | 2.7% | 124 | 99.9 | 1.24× |
| [SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $0.24 | 2.6% | 22 | 98.5 | 0.22× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) [Дабстеп молитва](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%94%D0%B0%D0%B1%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B5%D0%BF%20%D0%BC%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%B2%D0%B0) $0.67 $34.61 51.66x 2026-11-04 13:39 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=tn1r)

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-field-tested) [Carter Slade](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Carter%20Slade) $0.67 $0.35 0.52x 2026-11-11 18:19 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [WesT\_dp](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/WesT_dp) $0.67 $0.69 1.03x 2026-11-11 18:18 UTC

[Charm | Hot Hands charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-hands) [mmjuad](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/mmjuad) $0.67 $0.37 0.55x 2026-11-11 16:05 UTC

[Tec-9 | Brother (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-well-worn) [mmjuad](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/mmjuad) $0.67 $0.38 0.57x 2026-11-11 16:04 UTC

[MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-field-tested) [mmjuad](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/mmjuad) $0.67 $0.89 1.33x 2026-11-11 16:04 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti) [mmjuad](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/mmjuad) $0.67 $0.30 0.46x 2026-11-11 16:03 UTC

[Tec-9 | Brother (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-well-worn) [Luntik\_255](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Luntik_255) $0.67 $0.38 0.57x 2026-11-11 15:39 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Tosai (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-field-tested) [Luntik\_255](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Luntik_255) $0.67 $0.40 0.60x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC

[AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-minimal-wear) [Luntik\_255](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Luntik_255) $0.67 $0.39 0.59x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-field-tested) [mmjuad](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/mmjuad) $0.67 $1.13 1.69x 2026-11-11 15:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.67 | 75.94% | 28 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.67 | 75.56% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.67 | 75.48% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.67 | 75.50% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.67 | 75.78% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.67 | 76.09% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.67 | 76.13% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.67 | 76.15% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.67 | 76.20% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.67 | 76.29% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.67 | 76.60% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.67 | 76.64% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.67 | 76.60% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.67 | 76.61% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.67 | 76.58% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.67 | 76.65% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.67 | 76.58% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.67 | 76.58% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.67 | 76.60% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.67 | 76.63% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.67 | 76.66% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.67 | 76.61% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.67 | 76.69% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.67 | 77.02% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.67 | 77.07% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.67 | 76.97% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.67 | 76.60% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.67 | 76.77% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.67 | 76.68% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.67 | 76.71% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% pink 3.3% classified 0.0% #d32ee6 0.1% Legendary 0.1% restricted 9.3% violet 16.5% #8847ff 29.5% Mythical 5.6% milspec 6.7% blue 12.4% #4b69ff 11.3% Rare 5.4% best hit $34.61 (51.66x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.94 on average: an expected loss of $24.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt