---
title: "Тур де Франс case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Тур де Франс ($0.11) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 79.58% from 29 items with odds, observed 88.04% over 451 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tourdefrance
rendered: 2026-11-12T01:08Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Тур де Франс](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tourdefrance)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Тур де Франс

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tourdefrance?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tourdefrance?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tourdefrance) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tourdefrance?window=all)

Price · $0.11

Advertised RTP · 79.58% · EV $0.09 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.04% · 451 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 35.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 13 openings · below min

7 days · 89.81% ±10.56 289 openings

30 days · 88.04% ±8.30 451 openings

since tracking started · 88.04% ±8.30 451 openings

29.0% 75.8% 122.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tourdefrance?window=24h) | 13 | 75.73% ±46.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tourdefrance?window=7d) | 289 | 89.81% ±10.6 | +1.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tourdefrance) | 451 | 88.04% ±8.30 | +1.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/tourdefrance?window=all) | 451 | 88.04% ±8.30 | +1.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 451 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) | 1 in 9,572 | $4.06 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 9,413 | $3.64 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-field-tested) | 1 in 6,959 | $1.90 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) | 1 in 6,904 | $1.88 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 6,731 | $1.83 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Charm \| Magmatude charm · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-magmatude) | 1 in 6,422 | $1.75 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Triumvirate (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-triumvirate-field-tested) | 1 in 4,729 | $1.39 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 2,951 | $1.07 | 0.4% | 3 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-field-tested) | 1 in 2,435 | $0.98 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-field-tested) | 1 in 1,732 | $0.85 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-field-tested) | 1 in 822 | $0.63 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-field-tested) | 1 in 599 | $0.56 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-well-worn) | 1 in 429 | $0.50 | 1.3% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.85× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-minimal-wear) | 1 in 373 | $0.47 | 1.5% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 266 | $0.42 | 1.8% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-field-tested) | 1 in 149 | $0.34 | 2.6% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $0.30 | 3.1% | 4 | 4.0 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Teal Graf (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-teal-graf-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.15 | 7.1% | 10 | 18.4 | 0.54× |
| [Charm \| Pocket AWP charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-awp) | 1 in 15 | $0.11 | 8.4% | 26 | 29.5 | 0.88× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $0.11 | 8.4% | 16 | 30.4 | 0.53× |
| [Charm \| Fluffy charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-fluffy) | 1 in 15 | $0.11 | 8.4% | 34 | 30.3 | 1.12× |
| [P90 \| Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.09 | 8.3% | 29 | 35.7 | 0.81× |
| [MAC-10 \| Light Box (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-light-box-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.07 | 7.5% | 44 | 41.5 | 1.06× |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $0.07 | 7.2% | 6 | 41.9 | 0.14× |
| [MP9 \| Broken Record (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-broken-record-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.07 | 7.2% | 44 | 42.1 | 1.04× |
| [MAG-7 \| Foresight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.06 | 6.1% | 16 | 42.7 | 0.38× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.05 | 5.2% | 0 | 41.8 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dezastre (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dezastre-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.05 | 5.2% | 43 | 41.8 | 1.03× |
| [SSG 08 \| Memorial (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-memorial-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $0.05 | 5.1% | 21 | 41.7 | 0.50× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 12 Nov, 00:45 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=tourdefrance)

[Charm | Fluffy charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-fluffy) [shenimgeli](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/shenimgeli) $0.11 $0.09 0.85x 2026-11-11 20:14 UTC

[SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dezastre-field-tested) [da1lykk$](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/da1lykk%24) $0.11 $0.05 0.45x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) [da1lykk$](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/da1lykk%24) $0.11 $0.10 0.88x 2026-11-11 19:24 UTC

[Charm | Fluffy charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-fluffy) [BAAKENZI](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/BAAKENZI) $0.11 $0.09 0.85x 2026-11-11 16:02 UTC

[P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) [BAAKENZI](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/BAAKENZI) $0.11 $0.09 0.82x 2026-11-11 16:00 UTC

[MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-broken-record-field-tested) [xCry](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/xCry) $0.11 $0.07 0.62x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[M4A4 | Zubastick (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-field-tested) [xCry](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/xCry) $0.11 $0.08 0.75x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-light-box-field-tested) [Slinkeeee](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Slinkeeee) $0.11 $0.07 0.62x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC

[P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) [Sigaretu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Sigaretu) $0.11 $0.08 0.73x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC

[Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-teal-graf-field-tested) [Stormicekkk](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Stormicekkk) $0.11 $0.14 1.28x 2026-11-11 08:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 00:45 UTC | $0.11 | 79.58% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.11 | 79.67% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.11 | 79.62% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.11 | 79.40% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.11 | 79.38% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.11 | 79.80% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.11 | 80.04% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.11 | 80.04% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.11 | 79.96% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.11 | 79.99% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.11 | 80.05% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.11 | 80.74% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.11 | 80.52% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.11 | 80.50% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.11 | 80.49% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.11 | 80.57% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.11 | 80.54% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.11 | 80.75% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.11 | 80.61% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.11 | 80.52% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.11 | 80.68% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.11 | 80.68% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.11 | 80.54% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.11 | 80.63% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.11 | 80.99% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.11 | 80.94% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.11 | 80.83% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.11 | 80.50% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.11 | 80.65% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.11 | 80.80% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 0.0% violet 0.8% #8847ff 0.1% restricted 0.0% Mythical 0.0% #4b69ff 54.5% mil spec 0.3% milspec 9.9% Rare 15.7% blue 9.3% Uncommon 9.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 79.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $79.58 on average: an expected loss of $20.42 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt