---
title: "Сладость или гадость case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Сладость или гадость ($6.79) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 64.51% from 2 items with odds, observed 61.90% over 2,334 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/trickortreat
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Сладость или гадость](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/trickortreat)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Сладость или гадость

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/trickortreat?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/trickortreat?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/trickortreat) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/trickortreat?window=all)

Price · $6.79

Advertised RTP · 64.51% · EV $4.38 from 2 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 61.90% · 2,334 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 32 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 96.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 62.27% ±24.38 278 openings

7 days · 62.42% ±10.55 1,643 openings

30 days · 61.90% ±8.84 2,334 openings

since tracking started · 61.90% ±8.84 2,334 openings

37.0% 62.3% 87.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/trickortreat?window=24h) | 278 | 62.27% ±24.4 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/trickortreat?window=7d) | 1,643 | 62.42% ±10.6 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/trickortreat) | 2,334 | 61.90% ±8.84 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/trickortreat?window=all) | 2,334 | 61.90% ±8.84 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,335 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Consequence of the Jinn (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-consequence-of-the-jinn-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $82.33 | 58.2% | 54 | 72.3 | 0.75× |
| [AK-47 \| Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) | 96.9% | $1.89 | 41.8% | 2,181 | 2262.7 | 0.96× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=trickortreat)

[AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) [sKIlOVEN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/sKIlOVEN) $6.79 $1.88 0.28x 2026-11-11 20:03 UTC

[AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) [SLUT'S ANTHEM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SLUT'S%20ANTHEM) $6.79 $1.88 0.28x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) [SLUT'S ANTHEM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SLUT'S%20ANTHEM) $6.79 $1.88 0.28x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) [SLUT'S ANTHEM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SLUT'S%20ANTHEM) $6.79 $1.88 0.28x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) [SLUT'S ANTHEM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SLUT'S%20ANTHEM) $6.79 $1.88 0.28x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) [SLUT'S ANTHEM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SLUT'S%20ANTHEM) $6.79 $1.88 0.28x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) [SLUT'S ANTHEM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SLUT'S%20ANTHEM) $6.79 $1.88 0.28x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) [SLUT'S ANTHEM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SLUT'S%20ANTHEM) $6.79 $1.88 0.28x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) [SLUT'S ANTHEM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SLUT'S%20ANTHEM) $6.79 $1.88 0.28x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) [SLUT'S ANTHEM](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SLUT'S%20ANTHEM) $6.79 $1.88 0.28x 2026-11-11 19:53 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $6.79 | 64.51% | 2 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $6.79 | 64.26% | 2 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $6.79 | 64.13% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $6.79 | 64.14% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $6.79 | 64.37% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $6.79 | 64.77% | 2 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $6.79 | 64.75% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $6.79 | 64.69% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $6.79 | 64.70% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $6.79 | 64.79% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $6.79 | 65.09% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $6.79 | 65.13% | 2 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $6.79 | 65.10% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $6.79 | 65.16% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $6.79 | 65.20% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $6.79 | 65.21% | 2 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.23% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.21% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.22% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.14% | 2 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.20% | 2 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.79 | 65.06% | 2 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $6.79 | 65.22% | 2 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $6.79 | 65.52% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $6.79 | 65.52% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $6.79 | 65.46% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $6.79 | 65.14% | 2 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $6.79 | 65.20% | 2 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $6.79 | 65.21% | 2 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $6.79 | 65.30% | 2 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed red 3.1% #8847ff 96.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 64.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $64.51 on average: an expected loss of $35.49 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
