---
title: "Вась case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Вась ($0.10) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 74.47% from 29 items with odds, observed 85.58% over 13.6K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vasya
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:40Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Вась](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vasya)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Вась

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vasya?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vasya?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vasya) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vasya?window=all)

Price · $0.10

Advertised RTP · 74.47% · EV $0.07 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.58% · 13.6K openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 36.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 78.23% ±3.54 1,747 openings

7 days · 84.50% ±1.45 11.3K openings

30 days · 85.58% ±1.32 13.6K openings

since tracking started · 85.58% ±1.32 13.6K openings

74.0% 80.8% 87.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 75.37% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (84.26% – 86.90%, 13,619 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vasya?window=24h) | 1,747 | 78.23% ±3.54 | +2.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vasya?window=7d) | 11.3K | 84.50% ±1.45 | +12.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vasya) | 13.6K | 85.58% ±1.32 | +15.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vasya?window=all) | 13.6K | 85.58% ±1.32 | +15.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13.6K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 9,691 | $3.41 | 0.5% | 7 | 1.4 | 4.98× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 9,509 | $2.91 | 0.4% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.79× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) | 1 in 8,816 | $2.11 | 0.3% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-field-tested) | 1 in 8,446 | $1.90 | 0.3% | 6 | 1.6 | 3.72× |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) | 1 in 7,719 | $1.62 | 0.3% | 5 | 1.8 | 2.83× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 6,700 | $1.37 | 0.3% | 4 | 2.0 | 1.97× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) | 1 in 5,549 | $1.16 | 0.3% | 5 | 2.5 | 2.03× |
| [M4A1-S \| Electrum (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-electrum-field-tested) | 1 in 5,279 | $1.12 | 0.3% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.16× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-field-tested) | 1 in 3,060 | $0.82 | 0.4% | 9 | 4.5 | 2.02× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,821 | $0.79 | 0.4% | 12 | 4.8 | 2.48× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-field-tested) | 1 in 1,511 | $0.60 | 0.5% | 14 | 9.0 | 1.55× |
| [UMP-45 \| Plastique (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-field-tested) | 1 in 583 | $0.42 | 1.0% | 48 | 23.4 | 2.05× |
| [MAC-10 \| Sakkaku (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sakkaku-well-worn) | 1 in 348 | $0.35 | 1.3% | 58 | 39.1 | 1.48× |
| [Tec-9 \| Red Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-red-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 141 | $0.25 | 2.4% | 207 | 96.8 | 2.14× |
| [Charm \| Lil' Cackle charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cackle) | 1 in 127 | $0.24 | 2.5% | 196 | 107.1 | 1.83× |
| [FAMAS \| 2A2F (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-2a2f-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $0.18 | 3.7% | 199 | 204.0 | 0.98× |
| [UMP-45 \| Warm Blooded (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-warm-blooded-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $0.14 | 5.2% | 375 | 373.4 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Teal Graf (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-teal-graf-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $0.14 | 5.2% | 360 | 373.4 | 0.96× |
| [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $0.11 | 6.6% | 245 | 600.0 | 0.41× |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.08 | 7.5% | 715 | 941.0 | 0.76× |
| [Nova \| Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-dark-sigil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.07 | 7.5% | 421 | 1045.2 | 0.40× |
| [AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $0.07 | 7.5% | 720 | 1072.7 | 0.67× |
| [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $0.07 | 7.4% | 174 | 1141.5 | 0.15× |
| [XM1014 \| Copperflage (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.06 | 7.3% | 1,463 | 1193.4 | 1.23× |
| [MP9 \| Featherweight (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-featherweight-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.06 | 7.1% | 1,382 | 1220.7 | 1.13× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.05 | 6.7% | 1,484 | 1285.4 | 1.15× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hideout (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hideout-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.05 | 6.4% | 523 | 1305.0 | 0.40× |
| [P250 \| Re.built (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-re-built-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.05 | 6.4% | 1,426 | 1301.7 | 1.10× |
| [M4A4 \| Naval Shred Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-naval-shred-camo-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $0.04 | 4.4% | 0 | 1277.9 | 0.00× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=vasya)

[Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-teal-graf-field-tested) [Жулик](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%96%D1%83%D0%BB%D0%B8%D0%BA) $0.10 $0.14 1.42x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[MP9 | Featherweight (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-featherweight-field-tested) [Жулик](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%96%D1%83%D0%BB%D0%B8%D0%BA) $0.10 $0.06 0.55x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[XM1014 | Copperflage (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-field-tested) [Жулик](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%96%D1%83%D0%BB%D0%B8%D0%BA) $0.10 $0.06 0.60x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC

[P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-re-built-field-tested) [аніме убійца](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%96%D0%BC%D0%B5%20%D1%83%D0%B1%D1%96%D0%B9%D1%86%D0%B0) $0.10 $0.06 0.58x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-re-built-field-tested) [аніме убійца](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%96%D0%BC%D0%B5%20%D1%83%D0%B1%D1%96%D0%B9%D1%86%D0%B0) $0.10 $0.06 0.58x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hideout-field-tested) [GAARA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/GAARA) $0.10 $0.05 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hideout-field-tested) [神 xyй cs2case.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E7%A5%9E%20xy%D0%B9%20cs2case.gg) $0.10 $0.05 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-dark-sigil-minimal-wear) [神 xyй cs2case.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E7%A5%9E%20xy%D0%B9%20cs2case.gg) $0.10 $0.07 0.73x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) [kurok.11](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/kurok.11) $0.10 $0.05 0.47x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-re-built-field-tested) [HypE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/HypE) $0.10 $0.06 0.58x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.10 | 74.47% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.10 | 74.36% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.10 | 74.24% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.10 | 74.76% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.10 | 74.91% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.10 | 74.84% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.10 | 74.96% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.10 | 74.80% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.10 | 74.91% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.10 | 75.45% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.10 | 75.39% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.10 | 75.29% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.10 | 75.58% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.10 | 75.42% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.10 | 75.48% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.10 | 75.33% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.10 | 75.44% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.10 | 75.50% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.10 | 75.68% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.10 | 75.60% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.10 | 75.39% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.10 | 75.61% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.10 | 75.84% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.10 | 75.84% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.10 | 75.74% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.10 | 75.44% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.10 | 75.37% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.10 | 75.62% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.10 | 75.47% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $0.10 | 75.48% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 0.0% pink 0.0% Mythical 0.1% #8847ff 0.1% violet 0.3% restricted 0.9% #4b69ff 42.3% blue 10.4% milspec 28.6% common 7.9% #5e98d9 9.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.47 on average: an expected loss of $25.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt