---
title: "CS2 Vertigo case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "CS2 Vertigo ($6.79) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 76.38% from 47 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vertigocs2
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [CS2 Vertigo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vertigocs2)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · CS2 Vertigo

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vertigocs2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vertigocs2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vertigocs2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vertigocs2?window=all)

Price · $6.79

Advertised RTP · 76.38% · EV $5.19 from 47 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vertigocs2?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vertigocs2?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vertigocs2) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/vertigocs2?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 162,703 | $348 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 117,619 | $240 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) | 1 in 86,066 | $194 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 56,828 | $156 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 40,261 | $134 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 34,903 | $127 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) | 1 in 34,122 | $126 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 26,574 | $114 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19,670 | $102 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 12,198 | $85.34 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-field-tested) | 1 in 9,581 | $78.34 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 8,121 | $73.93 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 7,431 | $71.67 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 7,156 | $70.73 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,348 | $67.85 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,449 | $60.01 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 3,111 | $53.07 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,473 | $41.07 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 1,069 | $36.79 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-field-tested) | 1 in 1,049 | $36.56 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) | 1 in 1,044 | $36.49 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 841 | $33.87 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 710 | $31.94 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 639 | $30.80 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 272 | $22.82 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 152 | $18.46 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $17.55 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 114 | $16.59 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-field-tested) | 1 in 112 | $16.47 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 101 | $15.85 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $15.29 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 89 | $15.09 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $11.87 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $11.73 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $11.24 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $10.19 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $9.71 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) | 1 in 10 | $4.56 | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $4.48 | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-minimal-wear) | 10.5% | $3.94 | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 11.1% | $3.00 | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-field-tested) | 11.0% | $2.61 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-field-tested) | 10.5% | $2.26 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $1.70 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Acid Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-acid-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $0.56 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Vent Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-vent-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $0.38 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Etch Lord (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $0.33 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=vertigocs2)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $6.79 | 76.38% | 47 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $6.79 | 76.17% | 47 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $6.79 | 76.01% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $6.79 | 75.99% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $6.79 | 76.28% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $6.79 | 76.63% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.63% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.61% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.66% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $6.79 | 76.72% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $6.79 | 77.17% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $6.79 | 77.13% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $6.79 | 77.11% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $6.79 | 77.16% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $6.79 | 77.16% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $6.79 | 77.16% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.18% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.16% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.16% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.16% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.15% | 47 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $6.79 | 77.09% | 47 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.20% | 47 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $6.79 | 77.56% | 47 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $6.79 | 77.59% | 47 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.45% | 47 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.17% | 47 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.27% | 47 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $6.79 | 77.25% | 47 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $6.79 | 77.26% | 47 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 24.9% classified 23.0% red 0.0% covert 0.1% covert knife 0.0% extraordinary 0.1% gold 0.0% pink 21.0% Ancient 0.1% blue 0.2% industrial 0.9% Legendary 10.5% Mil Spec Grade 11.0% mil spec 3.6% Mythical 2.5% violet 2.1%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 76.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $76.38 on average: an expected loss of $23.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt