---
title: "Согревающий плед case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Согревающий плед ($13.99) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.87% from 28 items with odds, observed 75.30% over 3,622 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/warmingblanket
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:43Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [Согревающий плед](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/warmingblanket)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · Согревающий плед

A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/warmingblanket?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/warmingblanket?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/warmingblanket) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/warmingblanket?window=all)

Price · $13.99

Advertised RTP · 73.87% · EV $10.34 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 75.30% · 3,622 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 38.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 81.07% ±7.56 375 openings

7 days · 75.62% ±2.92 2,602 openings

30 days · 75.30% ±2.46 3,622 openings

since tracking started · 75.30% ±2.46 3,622 openings

72.0% 80.8% 89.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/warmingblanket?window=24h) | 375 | 81.07% ±7.56 | +1.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/warmingblanket?window=7d) | 2,602 | 75.62% ±2.92 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/warmingblanket) | 3,622 | 75.30% ±2.46 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/warmingblanket?window=all) | 3,622 | 75.30% ±2.46 | +0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,628 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Occult (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-occult-field-tested) | 1 in 9,698 | $431 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 9,460 | $353 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 9,408 | $341 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) | 1 in 9,341 | $329 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-well-worn) | 1 in 8,478 | $241 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Ghost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 6,405 | $164 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-well-worn) | 1 in 5,020 | $136 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 2,510 | $93.88 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.38× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,385 | $91.77 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [AK-47 \| Consequence of the Jinn (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-consequence-of-the-jinn-well-worn) | 1 in 2,016 | $85.35 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 1,509 | $75.79 | 0.5% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 1,044 | $65.68 | 0.6% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.86× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 700 | $56.56 | 0.8% | 7 | 5.2 | 1.35× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) | 1 in 461 | $48.57 | 1.0% | 14 | 7.9 | 1.78× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 152 | $32.43 | 2.1% | 24 | 23.9 | 1.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 118 | $29.56 | 2.4% | 21 | 30.7 | 0.68× |
| [AUG \| Lil' Pig (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lil-pig-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $21.05 | 4.1% | 64 | 73.8 | 0.87× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $19.36 | 4.7% | 106 | 90.5 | 1.17× |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $15.87 | 6.0% | 122 | 142.0 | 0.86× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $15.01 | 6.4% | 156 | 159.8 | 0.98× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $12.02 | 7.8% | 222 | 243.9 | 0.91× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $11.22 | 8.2% | 322 | 273.7 | 1.18× |
| [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $10.11 | 8.6% | 248 | 320.1 | 0.77× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) | 10.6% | $8.77 | 9.0% | 168 | 383.8 | 0.44× |
| [AWP \| The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) | 11.1% | $8.35 | 9.0% | 356 | 404.5 | 0.88× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) | 12.1% | $7.69 | 9.0% | 383 | 437.5 | 0.88× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) | 13.7% | $6.42 | 8.5% | 472 | 495.8 | 0.95× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 14.4% | $5.68 | 7.9% | 459 | 521.1 | 0.88× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=warmingblanket)

[Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) [T3NGIZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/T3NGIZ) $13.99 $7.69 0.55x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) [Din Djarin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Din%20Djarin) $13.99 $18.93 1.35x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC

[FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) [Marinette](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Marinette) $13.99 $6.38 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:27 UTC

[AK-47 | Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) [Marinette](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Marinette) $13.99 $15.06 1.08x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) [Din Djarin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Din%20Djarin) $13.99 $7.69 0.55x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) [What's up man](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/What's%20up%20man) $13.99 $8.95 0.64x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) [What's up man](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/What's%20up%20man) $13.99 $10.71 0.77x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) [Din Djarin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Din%20Djarin) $13.99 $5.69 0.41x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[AWP | The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) [SAKURA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SAKURA) $13.99 $8.78 0.63x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC

[AWP | The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) [Marinette](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Marinette) $13.99 $8.78 0.63x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $13.99 | 73.87% | 28 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $13.99 | 73.70% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $13.99 | 73.69% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $13.99 | 73.97% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $13.99 | 74.30% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $13.99 | 74.31% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $13.99 | 74.29% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $13.99 | 74.36% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $13.99 | 74.41% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $13.99 | 74.83% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $13.99 | 74.81% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $13.99 | 74.79% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $13.99 | 74.81% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $13.99 | 74.82% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $13.99 | 74.84% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.83% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.80% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.81% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.82% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.82% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $13.99 | 74.76% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.88% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $13.99 | 75.22% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $13.99 | 75.24% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $13.99 | 75.14% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.84% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.93% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $13.99 | 74.92% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $13.99 | 74.91% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 14:19 UTC | $13.99 | 74.90% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.0% covert 1.2% covert knife 0.0% classified 33.0% extraordinary 0.0% red 0.1% rare 0.2% Ancient 0.7% uncommon 2.0% pink 36.3% violet 12.1% Legendary 14.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.87 on average: an expected loss of $26.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt