--- title: "11.11 mining case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops" description: "11.11 mining ($0.15) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 66.74% from 6 items with odds, observed 16116.16% over 165 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/worldshoppingdaymining rendered: 2026-11-11T17:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [11.11 mining](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/worldshoppingdaymining) # [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · 11.11 mining A case on csgo.net (Battle), first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/worldshoppingdaymining?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/worldshoppingdaymining?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/worldshoppingdaymining) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/worldshoppingdaymining?window=all) Price · $0.15 Advertised RTP · 66.74% · EV $0.10 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 16116.16% · 165 openings, odds method Variance · 107.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 266 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 165 openings · below min 7 days · 165 openings · below min 30 days · 165 openings · below min since tracking started · 165 openings · below min 66.0% 8170.5% 16275.0% **Small sample.** 165 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/worldshoppingdaymining?window=24h) | 165 | 16116.16% ±158.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/worldshoppingdaymining?window=7d) | 165 | 16116.16% ±158.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/worldshoppingdaymining) | 165 | 16116.16% ±158.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/worldshoppingdaymining?window=all) | 165 | 16116.16% ±158.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 221 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 6,962 | $60.44 | 8.7% | 3 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) | 1 in 5,060 | $46.21 | 9.1% | 13 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 3,976 | $39.91 | 10.0% | 16 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 1,314 | $24.41 | 18.6% | 53 | 0.2 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 415 | $16.09 | 38.7% | 80 | 0.5 | — | | [MP5-SD \| Picnic (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-picnic-field-tested) | 99.6% | $0.01 | 14.9% | 0 | 220.2 | 0.00× | Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) [AverbaH](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/AverbaH) $0.15 $65.53 436.9x 2026-11-11 03:31 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed) [ev1lfreezy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/ev1lfreezy) $0.15 $64.93 432.9x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed) [torch](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/torch) $0.15 $64.93 432.9x 2026-11-11 00:16 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) [saleshkoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/saleshkoo) $0.15 $60.77 405.1x 2026-11-11 05:37 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) [Goldfinch\_#](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Goldfinch_%23) $0.15 $60.41 402.7x 2026-11-11 09:05 UTC [AWP | Queen's Gambit weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit) [torch](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/torch) $0.15 $52.05 347.0x 2026-11-11 00:53 UTC [AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) [Somewhere i belong](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Somewhere%20i%20belong) $0.15 $46.23 308.2x 2026-11-11 15:43 UTC [AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) [Someth\*ng](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Someth*ng-249368) $0.15 $46.23 308.2x 2026-11-11 15:30 UTC [AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) [Iluminado](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Iluminado) $0.15 $46.23 308.2x 2026-11-11 15:16 UTC [AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) [Muramase](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Muramase) $0.15 $46.21 308.1x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=worldshoppingdaymining) [UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) [♱︎ EGOR x GOOD SEX ♱](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%99%B1%EF%B8%8E%20EGOR%20x%20GOOD%20SEX%20%E2%99%B1) $0.15 $16.11 107.4x 2026-11-11 16:45 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [me](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/me) $0.15 $24.34 162.3x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC [UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) [♱︎ EGOR x GOOD SEX ♱](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%99%B1%EF%B8%8E%20EGOR%20x%20GOOD%20SEX%20%E2%99%B1) $0.15 $16.11 107.4x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC [UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) [Eco](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Eco) $0.15 $16.11 107.4x 2026-11-11 16:42 UTC [UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) [relax](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/relax) $0.15 $16.11 107.4x 2026-11-11 16:26 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [☢SeñorVac☢](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%E2%98%A2Se%C3%B1orVac%E2%98%A2) $0.15 $24.34 162.3x 2026-11-11 16:24 UTC [UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) [nononono](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/nononono) $0.15 $16.11 107.4x 2026-11-11 16:22 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [samarov2026](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/samarov2026) $0.15 $38.85 259.0x 2026-11-11 16:18 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [(x SmileFace x)](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%28x%20SmileFace%20x%29) $0.15 $24.34 162.3x 2026-11-11 16:12 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [грязный заяц](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/%D0%B3%D1%80%D1%8F%D0%B7%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%D0%B7%D0%B0%D1%8F%D1%86) $0.15 $24.04 160.3x 2026-11-11 16:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.15 | 66.74% | 6 | | 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.15 | 66.83% | 6 | | 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.15 | 66.65% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% rare 0.0% classified 0.1% mil spec 0.2% Uncommon 99.6% best hit $65.53 (436.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 66.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $66.74 on average: an expected loss of $33.26 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt