---
title: "zoneR case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "zoneR ($1.39) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 73.06% from 39 items with odds, observed 74.63% over 2,094 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zoner
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [zoneR](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zoner)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · zoneR

A case on csgo.net (Blogger), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zoner?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zoner?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zoner) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zoner?window=all)

Price · $1.39

Advertised RTP · 73.06% · EV $1.02 from 39 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 74.63% · 2,094 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 36.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 74.71% ±10.57 223 openings

7 days · 74.31% ±3.89 1,700 openings

30 days · 74.63% ±3.51 2,094 openings

since tracking started · 74.63% ±3.51 2,094 openings

63.5% 74.8% 86.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zoner?window=24h) | 223 | 74.71% ±10.6 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zoner?window=7d) | 1,700 | 74.31% ±3.89 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zoner) | 2,094 | 74.63% ±3.51 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zoner?window=all) | 2,094 | 74.63% ±3.51 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,094 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 199,593 | $243 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 198,826 | $171 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 198,714 | $165 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 196,392 | $117 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-field-tested) | 1 in 194,303 | $99.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 194,183 | $99.26 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 193,189 | $94.01 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 187,160 | $75.30 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 185,695 | $72.45 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 184,713 | $70.73 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 176,580 | $60.44 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 157,723 | $47.81 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-needle-point-field-tested) | 1 in 145,214 | $42.66 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 136,917 | $39.91 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104,798 | $31.82 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 96,478 | $30.11 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 66,415 | $24.41 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-field-tested) | 1 in 59,900 | $23.22 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,924 | $12.28 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,545 | $12.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 7,002 | $10.19 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-field-tested) | 1 in 4,018 | $8.42 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-field-tested) | 1 in 659 | $4.56 | 0.7% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.26× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 522 | $4.21 | 0.8% | 0 | 4.0 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 1 in 346 | $3.67 | 1.0% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.32× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 310 | $3.53 | 1.1% | 9 | 6.8 | 1.33× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 292 | $3.46 | 1.2% | 9 | 7.2 | 1.25× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 192 | $3.00 | 1.5% | 20 | 10.9 | 1.83× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 70 | $2.11 | 3.0% | 40 | 29.9 | 1.34× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $1.96 | 3.4% | 36 | 36.7 | 0.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $1.74 | 4.2% | 32 | 51.2 | 0.63× |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $1.32 | 6.6% | 12 | 106.2 | 0.11× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $1.18 | 8.0% | 130 | 143.6 | 0.91× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $1.14 | 8.3% | 185 | 154.5 | 1.20× |
| [SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-rapid-transit-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $1.04 | 9.5% | 219 | 195.1 | 1.12× |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $1.02 | 9.6% | 209 | 201.0 | 1.04× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) | 13.9% | $0.87 | 11.9% | 442 | 292.1 | 1.51× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-field-tested) | 13.7% | $0.87 | 11.7% | 74 | 286.7 | 0.26× |
| [USP-S \| Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) | 26.6% | $0.61 | 16.0% | 303 | 557.6 | 0.54× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=zoner)

[USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) [skinner](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/skinner) $1.39 $0.86 0.62x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC

[MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) [skinner](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/skinner) $1.39 $1.02 0.73x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC

[USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) [skinner](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/skinner) $1.39 $0.62 0.45x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC

[MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) [skinner](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/skinner) $1.39 $1.02 0.73x 2026-11-11 15:54 UTC

[USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) [datss](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/datss) $1.39 $0.62 0.45x 2026-11-11 15:43 UTC

[USP-S | Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) [Neron](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Neron) $1.39 $0.62 0.45x 2026-11-11 15:43 UTC

[AWP | Acheron (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-field-tested) [Neron](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Neron) $1.39 $0.88 0.63x 2026-11-11 15:42 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) [Neron](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Neron) $1.39 $1.19 0.86x 2026-11-11 15:42 UTC

[AUG | Random Access (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-well-worn) [Neron](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Neron) $1.39 $1.32 0.95x 2026-11-11 15:42 UTC

[AUG | Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) [Neron](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Neron) $1.39 $1.14 0.82x 2026-11-11 15:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $1.39 | 73.06% | 39 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $1.39 | 72.82% | 39 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $1.39 | 72.80% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $1.39 | 72.76% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $1.39 | 73.16% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $1.39 | 73.28% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $1.39 | 73.41% | 39 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $1.39 | 73.44% | 39 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $1.39 | 73.39% | 39 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $1.39 | 73.36% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $1.39 | 73.80% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.39 | 73.75% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $1.39 | 73.86% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $1.39 | 73.79% | 39 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $1.39 | 73.82% | 39 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $1.39 | 73.90% | 39 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.39 | 73.98% | 39 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.39 | 73.75% | 39 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $1.39 | 73.98% | 39 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $1.39 | 73.93% | 39 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $1.39 | 73.89% | 39 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $1.39 | 73.86% | 39 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $1.39 | 73.88% | 39 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $1.39 | 74.27% | 39 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $1.39 | 74.17% | 39 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $1.39 | 74.17% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $1.39 | 73.92% | 39 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $1.39 | 73.98% | 39 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $1.39 | 73.94% | 39 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.39 | 73.95% | 39 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% classified 0.6% extraordinary 0.0% Ancient 0.0% #d32ee6 0.0% restricted 33.2% violet 0.2% Legendary 0.5% pink 0.5% #8847ff 1.4% Rare 4.2% Restricted 5.1% Mythical 13.9% #4b69ff 13.7% mil spec 26.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.06 on average: an expected loss of $26.94 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt