---
title: "zont1x case on csgo.net: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "zont1x ($0.67) on csgo.net, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 75.89% from 34 items with odds, observed 79.63% over 2,425 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zont1x
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:19Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) / [zont1x](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zont1x)

# [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) · zont1x

A case on csgo.net, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is csgo.net's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zont1x?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zont1x?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zont1x) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zont1x?window=all)

Price · $0.67

Advertised RTP · 75.89% · EV $0.51 from 34 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.63% · 2,425 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 28.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 88.09% ±14.54 195 openings

7 days · 80.42% ±4.68 1,854 openings

30 days · 79.63% ±4.11 2,425 openings

since tracking started · 79.63% ±4.11 2,425 openings

73.0% 88.3% 103.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zont1x?window=24h) | 195 | 88.09% ±14.5 | +1.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zont1x?window=7d) | 1,854 | 80.42% ±4.68 | +1.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zont1x) | 2,425 | 79.63% ±4.11 | +1.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/zont1x?window=all) | 2,425 | 79.63% ±4.11 | +1.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,425 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 9,934 | $39.91 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,872 | $31.94 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,943 | $15.29 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,091 | $12.14 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-field-tested) | 1 in 8,044 | $12.02 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP7 \| Nemesis (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-nemesis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,834 | $9.69 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) | 1 in 5,406 | $7.90 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [MP9 \| Rose Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,202 | $5.81 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) | 1 in 1,878 | $4.56 | 0.5% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.32× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 1,492 | $4.15 | 0.5% | 5 | 1.6 | 3.08× |
| [P250 \| Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) | 1 in 885 | $3.39 | 0.8% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.73× |
| [Charm \| Piñatita charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pinatita) | 1 in 692 | $3.09 | 0.9% | 7 | 3.5 | 2.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 490 | $2.72 | 1.1% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-field-tested) | 1 in 440 | $2.61 | 1.2% | 0 | 5.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-field-tested) | 1 in 443 | $2.61 | 1.2% | 3 | 5.5 | 0.55× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 150 | $1.74 | 2.3% | 14 | 16.1 | 0.87× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $1.71 | 2.3% | 17 | 16.9 | 1.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Kami (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $1.62 | 2.5% | 14 | 19.4 | 0.72× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $1.15 | 4.1% | 51 | 43.4 | 1.17× |
| [Charm \| Lil' Teacup charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-teacup) | 1 in 40 | $0.99 | 4.8% | 85 | 60.0 | 1.42× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $0.70 | 6.2% | 139 | 108.5 | 1.28× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.67 | 6.2% | 27 | 114.7 | 0.24× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $0.62 | 6.3% | 136 | 124.7 | 1.09× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.51 | 6.3% | 171 | 151.4 | 1.13× |
| [Glock-18 \| Block-18 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-block-18-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.41 | 5.7% | 196 | 170.4 | 1.15× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.40 | 5.6% | 215 | 172.5 | 1.25× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.40 | 5.6% | 119 | 172.7 | 0.69× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.37 | 5.3% | 105 | 176.0 | 0.60× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.36 | 5.2% | 79 | 176.5 | 0.45× |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.36 | 5.1% | 199 | 176.7 | 1.13× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.36 | 5.1% | 69 | 176.8 | 0.39× |
| [Charm \| Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) | 1 in 14 | $0.31 | 4.4% | 198 | 176.9 | 1.12× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.30 | 4.3% | 111 | 176.4 | 0.63× |
| [Charm \| Lil' Cackle charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cackle) | 1 in 15 | $0.24 | 3.3% | 13 | 166.8 | 0.08× |

Values are csgo.net's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgo-net:pf_case_ranges`, 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgo-net&case=zont1x)

[UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-field-tested) [mq](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/mq) $0.67 $0.38 0.57x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) [bedolaga](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/bedolaga) $0.67 $0.36 0.54x 2026-11-11 20:26 UTC

[Charm | Lil' Teacup charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-teacup) [Luci](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Luci) $0.67 $0.98 1.46x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) [Luci](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/Luci) $0.67 $0.36 0.54x 2026-11-11 19:46 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Tosai (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-field-tested) [SOBOL](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/SOBOL) $0.67 $0.61 0.91x 2026-11-11 19:34 UTC

[USP-S | Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-field-tested) [angelooovv](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/angelooovv) $0.67 $0.51 0.76x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC

[M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-field-tested) [angelooovv](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/angelooovv) $0.67 $0.62 0.93x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC

[Charm | Disco MAC charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-disco-mac) [angelooovv](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/angelooovv) $0.67 $0.31 0.46x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC

[Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-minimal-wear) [angelooovv](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/angelooovv) $0.67 $0.36 0.54x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [angelooovv](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgo-net/angelooovv) $0.67 $0.69 1.03x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:55 UTC | $0.67 | 75.89% | 34 |
| 11 Nov, 08:54 UTC | $0.67 | 75.63% | 34 |
| 11 Nov, 02:44 UTC | $0.67 | 75.47% | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 20:44 UTC | $0.67 | 75.45% | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 14:44 UTC | $0.67 | 75.78% | 33 |
| 10 Nov, 08:34 UTC | $0.67 | 76.05% | 33 |
| 10 Nov, 02:24 UTC | $0.67 | 76.06% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 20:24 UTC | $0.67 | 76.11% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 14:24 UTC | $0.67 | 76.14% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 08:24 UTC | $0.67 | 76.23% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $0.67 | 76.59% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.67 | 76.62% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $0.67 | 76.56% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 18:22 UTC | $0.67 | 76.56% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 12:22 UTC | $0.67 | 76.52% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 06:22 UTC | $0.67 | 76.69% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.67 | 76.59% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.67 | 76.62% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 12:02 UTC | $0.67 | 76.61% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 06:02 UTC | $0.67 | 76.62% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 00:02 UTC | $0.67 | 76.69% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 18:02 UTC | $0.67 | 76.55% | 33 |
| 6 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $0.67 | 76.66% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 05:21 UTC | $0.67 | 77.01% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 22:51 UTC | $0.67 | 77.06% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 16:41 UTC | $0.67 | 77.06% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 10:41 UTC | $0.67 | 76.58% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 04:41 UTC | $0.67 | 76.74% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $0.67 | 76.74% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.67 | 76.74% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% Ancient 0.0% classified 0.1% pink 0.1% restricted 14.1% Legendary 0.3% #d32ce6 0.1% #4b69ff 21.6% Mil Spec Grade 0.2% Rare 0.7% mil spec 8.1% Mythical 6.3% #8847ff 19.6% violet 14.1% uncommon 7.3% blue 7.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.89 on average: an expected loss of $24.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt