--- title: "10% Awp case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "10% Awp ($18.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds, observed 68.73% over 125 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [10% Awp](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · 10% Awp A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10?window=all) Price · $18.00 · 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $16.20 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 68.73% · 125 openings, odds method Variance · 59.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 30 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 111 openings · below min 30 days · 125 openings · below min since tracking started · 125 openings · below min -0.5% 192.3% 385.0% **Small sample.** 125 openings and 4.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10?window=24h) | 16 | 7.85% ±376.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10?window=7d) | 111 | 75.65% ±143.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10) | 125 | 68.73% ±134.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10?window=all) | 125 | 68.73% ±134.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 125 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $10.5K 10,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,700 2,700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 63 | $165 165 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.3% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $111 111 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.0% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.80× | | [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $90.00 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.07× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $85.00 85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.80× | | [AWP \| Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-snake-camo-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $70.00 70 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.8% | 9 | 4.0 | 2.26× | | [Sticker \| Heroic (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-heroic-gold-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 11 | $6.00 6 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 9 | 11.5 | 0.78× | | [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $5.50 5.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 11 | 10.1 | 1.09× | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $5.39 5.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 5 | 4.4 | 1.13× | | [StatTrak™ Nova \| Ghost Camo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-ghost-camo-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $3.87 3.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 12 | 8.7 | 1.38× | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Justice (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-well-worn) | 10.3% | $3.64 3.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 19 | 12.9 | 1.47× | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Justice (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-well-worn) | 13.7% | $3.64 3.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 19 | 17.2 | 1.11× | | [Sticker \| refrezh (Gold) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-refrezh-gold-rio-2022) | 1 in 21 | $3.58 3.58 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 1 | 5.8 | 0.17× | | [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-distressed-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $1.25 1.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× | | [StatTrak™ Negev \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-man-o-war-field-tested) | 11.5% | $0.44 0.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 13 | 14.3 | 0.91× | | [M249 \| System Lock (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-system-lock-minimal-wear) | 12.6% | $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 22 | 15.7 | 1.40× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.66× | | [Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Desert Brush (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-desert-brush-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 14 | 7.3 | 1.93× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10) [M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-system-lock-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:29 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-man-o-war-field-tested) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.44 0.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:29 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-man-o-war-field-tested) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.44 0.44 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:29 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-well-worn) [WigSplitta](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/WigSplitta) $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.64 3.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-11 04:00 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-well-worn) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.64 3.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.20x 2026-11-11 04:00 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-desert-brush-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 04:00 UTC [P250 | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.50 5.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.31x 2026-11-11 04:00 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-desert-brush-battle-scarred) [Faith](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Faith) $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:59 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-desert-brush-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:59 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-desert-brush-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.00 18 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.04 0.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $18.00 | 90.00% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.3% classified 29.1% mil spec 15.8% #EB4B4B 13.9% Rare 8.1% #4B69FF 6.9% milspec 12.7% Consumer 2.4% #B0C3D9 5.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt