---
title: "Drew case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Drew ($603.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.12% from 25 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10000
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Drew](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10000)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Drew

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10000?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10000?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10000) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10000?window=all)

Price · $603.00 · 603 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.12% · EV $519.30 from 25 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 12.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10000?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10000?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10000) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10000?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $52K 52,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $15K 15,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 333 | $11K 11,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $8,200 8,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $5,000 5,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 80 | $4,700 4,700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $2,800 2,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,250 1,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $1,185 1,185 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $820 820 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $740 740 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $720 720 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $550 550 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Skadoodle (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-skadoodle-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 39 | $492 492 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $355 355 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $330 330 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $202 202 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $113 113 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $83.90 83.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $71.20 71.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $47.53 47.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $30.26 30.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $29.90 29.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $10.38 10.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Whiteout (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-whiteout-battle-scarred) | 29.8% | $5.25 5.25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10000`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10000)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $603 | 86.12% | 25 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed remarkable 0.1% extraordinary 1.7% covert 6.3% legendary 2.3% classified 24.0% #4B69FF 4.0% rare 1.0% mil spec 7.0% #eb4b4b 2.6% industrial 13.4% #5E98D9 3.0% blue 5.0% Mil Spec Grade 29.8%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.12 on average: an expected loss of $13.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt