---
title: "Prodigy case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Prodigy ($625.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.58% from 28 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10002
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Prodigy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10002)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Prodigy

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10002?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10002?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10002) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10002?window=all)

Price · $625.00 · 625 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 87.58% · EV $547.39 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 8.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 26 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10002?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10002?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10002) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10002?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) - Pattern 661 StatTrak · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear-pattern-661) | 1 in 100,000 | $200K 200,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20,000 | $80K 80,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) | 1 in 10,000 | $30K 30,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 10,000 | $25K 25,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $17.4K 17,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 400 | $10.3K 10,332 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $8,800 8,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $8,076 8,076 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $7,624 7,624 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $6,400 6,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 133 | $5,558 5,558 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $4,644 4,644 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 133 | $4,417 4,417 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 133 | $3,336 3,336 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $2,396 2,396 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,548 1,548 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,100 1,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $801 801 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $700 700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $418 418 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $334 334 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $255 255 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $249 249 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $220 220 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $143 143 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $89.33 89.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | $0.08 0.08 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-battle-scarred) | 32.6% | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10002`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10002)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $625 | 87.58% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 32.6% #D32CE6 0.0% legendary 1.0% base 0.0% covert 12.8% extraordinary 3.5% classified 12.0% restricted 7.0% #d32ee6 1.0% #4b69ff 30.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.58 on average: an expected loss of $12.42 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt