--- title: "Grim Budget case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Grim Budget ($350.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10019 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Grim Budget](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10019) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Grim Budget A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10019?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10019?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10019) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10019?window=all) Price · $350.00 · 350 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $306.25 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 58.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 21 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10019?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10019?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10019) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10019?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $69.9K 69,858 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 22.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $41.1K 41,093 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $25.9K 25,879 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $450 450 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 17.6% | $347 347 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $325 325 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 11.1% | $199 199 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 13.3% | $170 170 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-field-tested) | 15.4% | $127 127 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Nova \| Green Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-green-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $10.05 10.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-llama-cannon-field-tested) | 19.8% | $4.57 4.57 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $3.94 3.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10019`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10019) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $350 | 87.50% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 0.1% covert 33.3% legendary 0.1% covert knife 22.2% #EB4B4B 13.3% Industrial Grade 8.9% classified 19.8% restricted 2.4% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt