--- title: "Juicy case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Juicy ($2,849.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.00% from 26 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10040 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Juicy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10040) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Juicy A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10040?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10040?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10040) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10040?window=all) Price · $2,849.00 · 2,849 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.00% · EV $2,478.70 from 26 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 6.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10040?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10040?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10040) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10040?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $232K 232,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Field Tested) - Pattern 387 knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-field-tested-pattern-387) | 1 in 4,000 | $200K 200,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,538 | $85K 85,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $80K 80,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,333 | $70K 70,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 800 | $50K 50,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $50K 50,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 667 | $40K 40,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 667 | $35K 35,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $30K 30,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 667 | $28K 28,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $25K 25,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $21K 21,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $17.3K 17,300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $16K 16,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $11K 11,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $10.4K 10,450 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 100 | $9,000 9,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $8,000 8,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $6,000 6,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 33 | $5,000 5,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $4,000 4,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $3,500 3,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-fade-factory-new) | 12.0% | $3,000 3,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $300 300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) | 35.0% | $85.00 85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10040`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10040) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2,849 | 87.00% | 26 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 40.3% #EB4B4B 0.0% legendary 12.5% remarkable 4.2% base 0.1% extraordinary 0.9% gold 7.0% restricted 35.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.00 on average: an expected loss of $13.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt