---
title: "Juicy Budget case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Juicy Budget ($521.98) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.00% from 24 items with odds, observed 47.91% over 4 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10041
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Juicy Budget](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10041)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Juicy Budget

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10041?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10041?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10041) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10041?window=all)

Price · $521.98 · 522 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 87.00% · EV $454.12 from 24 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 47.91% · 4 openings, odds method

Variance · 49.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 45 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 1 openings · below min

7 days · 4 openings · below min

30 days · 4 openings · below min

since tracking started · 4 openings · below min

-0.5% 691.3% 1383.0%

**Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10041?window=24h) | 1 | 0.02% ±1382.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10041?window=7d) | 4 | 47.91% ±691.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10041) | 4 | 47.91% ±691.0 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10041?window=all) | 4 | 47.91% ±691.0 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $232K 232,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Field Tested) - Pattern 387 knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-field-tested-pattern-387) | 1 in 10,000 | $200K 200,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20,000 | $91K 91,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20,000 | $89K 89,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20,000 | $74K 74,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $54K 54,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $52K 52,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20,000 | $40K 40,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20,000 | $35K 35,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20,000 | $33K 33,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 20,000 | $30K 30,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $30K 30,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $21K 21,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 20,000 | $17.3K 17,300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $16K 16,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $11K 11,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $10.4K 10,450 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $8,000 8,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $5,600 5,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $2,383 2,383 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $1,400 1,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20 | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Sticker \| LGB eSports \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20 | $520 520 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-minimal-wear) | 84.8% | $0.12 0.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.88× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10041`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) Hidden $522 522 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.92x 2026-11-07 20:49 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10041)

[Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-minimal-wear) Hidden $522 522 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.12 0.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:59 UTC

[Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) Hidden $522 522 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.92x 2026-11-07 20:49 UTC

[Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-minimal-wear) Hidden $522 522 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.12 0.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 20:49 UTC

[Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-minimal-wear) Hidden $522 522 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.12 0.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 20:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $522 | 87.00% | 24 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% #EB4B4B 0.0% legendary 0.0% remarkable 3.0% base 0.0% extraordinary 1.1% gold 1.0% high 10.0% industrial 84.8% best hit $1,000 (1.92x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.00 on average: an expected loss of $13.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt