--- title: "Jordanr case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Jordanr ($107.73) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 10 items with odds, observed 53.11% over 13 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10044 rendered: 2026-11-11T18:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Jordanr](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10044) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Jordanr A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10044?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10044?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10044) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10044?window=all) Price · $107.73 · 108 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $94.26 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 53.11% · 13 openings, odds method Variance · 45.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 13 openings · below min 30 days · 13 openings · below min since tracking started · 13 openings · below min -0.5% 293.0% 586.5% **Small sample.** 13 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10044?window=24h) | 6 | 46.36% ±539.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10044?window=7d) | 13 | 53.11% ±366.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10044) | 13 | 53.11% ±366.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10044?window=all) | 13 | 53.11% ±366.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $60K 60,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $10.7K 10,675 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $2,678 2,678 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $709 709 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $575 575 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $495 495 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $378 378 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Foundation (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-foundation-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $298 298 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.2% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $144 144 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Sticker \| Door Stuck (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-door-stuck-foil) | 80.0% | $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 10 | 10.4 | 0.96× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10044`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10044) [★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-foundation-field-tested) Hidden $108 108 CSGOBIG\_COIN $298 298 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.77x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC [Sticker | Door Stuck (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-door-stuck-foil) Hidden $108 108 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC [Sticker | Door Stuck (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-door-stuck-foil) Hidden $108 108 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC [Sticker | Door Stuck (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-door-stuck-foil) Hidden $108 108 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC [Sticker | Door Stuck (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-door-stuck-foil) Hidden $108 108 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC [Sticker | Door Stuck (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-door-stuck-foil) Hidden $108 108 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC [Sticker | Door Stuck (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-door-stuck-foil) Hidden $108 108 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 14:49 UTC [Sticker | Door Stuck (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-door-stuck-foil) [svirkstas](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/svirkstas) $108 108 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 14:49 UTC [MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-factory-new) Hidden $108 108 CSGOBIG\_COIN $144 144 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.34x 2026-11-08 14:49 UTC [Sticker | Door Stuck (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-door-stuck-foil) Hidden $108 108 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.32 0.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 11:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $108 | 87.50% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% covert 4.1% rare 1.5% classified 3.5% extraordinary 4.5% restricted 6.4% Legendary 80.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt