--- title: "Killdozer case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Killdozer ($7.95) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.55% from 11 items with odds, observed 127.30% over 361 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10047 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Killdozer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10047) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Killdozer A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10047?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10047?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10047) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10047?window=all) Price · $7.95 · 7.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.55% · EV $6.96 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 127.30% · 361 openings, odds method Variance · 130.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 333 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 41 openings · below min 7 days · 302 openings · below min 30 days · 361 openings · below min since tracking started · 361 openings · below min -0.5% 175.3% 351.0% **Small sample.** 361 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10047?window=24h) | 41 | 0.13% ±350.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10047?window=7d) | 302 | 152.15% ±129.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10047) | 361 | 127.30% ±118.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10047?window=all) | 361 | 127.30% ±118.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 361 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,250 2,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 32.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,100 1,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 1,000 | $800 800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $700 700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $600 600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $300 300 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $200 200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) | 99.0% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 357 | 357.4 | 1.00× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10047`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $7.95 7.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2,250 2,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN 283.0x 2026-11-05 10:09 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) Hidden $7.95 7.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN $700 700 CSGOBIG\_COIN 88.05x 2026-11-04 22:29 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) Hidden $7.95 7.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN 50.31x 2026-11-04 22:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10047) [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.95 7.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.95 7.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 06:49 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.95 7.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 04:20 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.95 7.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 04:20 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.95 7.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 04:20 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [woodsnatch22](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/woodsnatch22) $7.95 7.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 04:20 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.95 7.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 04:20 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.95 7.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 04:20 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.95 7.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:48 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.95 7.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.95 | 87.55% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.6% extraordinary 0.2% epic 0.1% restricted 0.1% consumer 99.0% best hit $2,250 (283.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.55 on average: an expected loss of $12.45 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt