--- title: "Boltz case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Boltz ($89.92) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 11 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10052 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Boltz](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10052) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Boltz A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10052?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10052?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10052) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10052?window=all) Price · $89.92 · 89.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $78.68 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 23.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10052?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10052?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10052) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10052?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 3,333 | $15.3K 15,295 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $13.5K 13,538 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $1,853 1,853 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,397 1,397 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $476 476 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| boltz (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boltz-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 49 | $355 355 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $320 320 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 10.0% | $105 105 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-field-tested) | 11.1% | $68.00 68 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 20.0% | $20.00 20 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| boltz \| Cologne 2015 sticker · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boltz-cologne-2015) | 50.0% | $7.96 7.96 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10052`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10052) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $89.92 | 87.50% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 12.4% restricted 0.5% #EB4B4B 2.1% extraordinary 4.0% gold 11.1% Mythical 20.0% #4B69FF 50.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt