---
title: "Snatchers case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Snatchers ($124.48) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 22 items with odds, observed 0.12% over 2 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10056
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Snatchers](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10056)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Snatchers

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10056?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10056?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10056) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10056?window=all)

Price · $124.48 · 124 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $108.92 from 22 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 0.12% · 2 openings, odds method

Variance · 10.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 2 openings · below min

30 days · 2 openings · below min

since tracking started · 2 openings · below min

-0.5% 221.3% 443.0%

**Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10056?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10056?window=7d) | 2 | 0.12% ±442.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10056) | 2 | 0.12% ±442.0 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10056?window=all) | 2 | 0.12% ±442.0 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,859 7,859 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,490 4,490 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,260 3,260 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,666 2,666 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,402 2,402 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,764 1,764 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,589 1,589 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $1,174 1,174 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,025 1,025 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $949 949 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $879 879 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $781 781 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $620 620 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $553 553 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $428 428 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $324 324 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $257 257 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $219 219 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $189 189 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $166 166 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Smirk (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-smirk-swat-blue) | 40.0% | $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| OMG (Monarch Blue) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-omg-monarch-blue) | 40.0% | $0.15 0.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 2 | 0.8 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10056`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10056)

[Sealed Graffiti | OMG (Monarch Blue) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-omg-monarch-blue) Hidden $124 124 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.15 0.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 02:19 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | OMG (Monarch Blue) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-omg-monarch-blue) Hidden $124 124 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.15 0.15 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 02:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $124 | 87.50% | 22 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 5.5% classified 9.5% Covert 1.0% rare 1.0% #eb4b4b 1.0% #d32ee6 2.0% Base Grade 40.0% #B0C3D9 40.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt