---
title: "Dabbed case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Dabbed ($46.70) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.49% from 12 items with odds, observed 167.42% over 117 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10057
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Dabbed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10057)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Dabbed

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10057?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10057?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10057) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10057?window=all)

Price · $46.70 · 46.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 87.49% · EV $40.86 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 167.42% · 117 openings, odds method

Variance · 143.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 377 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 93.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 3 openings · below min

7 days · 86 openings · below min

30 days · 117 openings · below min

since tracking started · 117 openings · below min

-0.5% 680.0% 1360.5%

**Small sample.** 117 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10057?window=24h) | 3 | 6.42% ±1353.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10057?window=7d) | 86 | 225.45% ±252.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10057) | 117 | 167.42% ±216.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10057?window=all) | 117 | 167.42% ±216.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 117 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $48.3K 48,283 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $23.6K 23,554 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 5,000 | $13.9K 13,898 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $9,587 9,587 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,100 7,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,400 3,400 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 227 | $700 700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $498 498 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $115 115 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.8% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.35× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $48.23 48.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× |
| [Sticker \| Kawaii CT (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-ct-holo) | 93.0% | $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.8% | 112 | 108.8 | 1.03× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10057`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) Hidden $46.70 46.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $7,100 7,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN 152.0x 2026-11-07 04:19 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $46.70 46.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN 32.12x 2026-11-09 05:49 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10057)

[Sticker | Kawaii CT (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-ct-holo) Hidden $46.70 46.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 18:49 UTC

[Sticker | Kawaii CT (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-ct-holo) Hidden $46.70 46.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 18:49 UTC

[Sticker | Kawaii CT (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-ct-holo) Hidden $46.70 46.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 18:49 UTC

[Sticker | Kawaii CT (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-ct-holo) Hidden $46.70 46.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 09:59 UTC

[Sticker | Kawaii CT (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-ct-holo) Hidden $46.70 46.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 09:59 UTC

[Sticker | Kawaii CT (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-ct-holo) Hidden $46.70 46.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 09:30 UTC

[Sticker | Kawaii CT (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-ct-holo) Hidden $46.70 46.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 09:30 UTC

[Sticker | Kawaii CT (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-ct-holo) Hidden $46.70 46.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 09:30 UTC

[Sticker | Kawaii CT (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-ct-holo) Hidden $46.70 46.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 09:30 UTC

[Sticker | Kawaii CT (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-ct-holo) Hidden $46.70 46.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.00 3 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 04:29 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $46.70 | 87.49% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 6.2% remarkable 0.0% epic 0.8% violet 93.0% best hit $7,100 (152.0x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.49 on average: an expected loss of $12.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
