---
title: "Mintpod case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Mintpod ($27.10) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 38.41% over 101 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10064
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Mintpod](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10064)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Mintpod

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10064?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10064?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10064) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10064?window=all)

Price · $27.10 · 27.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $24.39 from 11 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 38.41% · 101 openings, odds method

Variance · 60.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 154 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 12 openings · below min

7 days · 95 openings · below min

30 days · 101 openings · below min

since tracking started · 101 openings · below min

-0.5% 241.5% 483.5%

**Small sample.** 101 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10064?window=24h) | 12 | 44.03% ±439.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10064?window=7d) | 95 | 39.43% ±156.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10064) | 101 | 38.41% ±151.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10064?window=all) | 101 | 38.41% ±151.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 102 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,670 5,670 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,241 3,241 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $2,117 2,117 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333 | $1,508 1,508 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $866 866 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $47.43 47.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.7% | 11 | 5.1 | 2.16× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $29.85 29.85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 8 | 5.1 | 1.57× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $18.53 18.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.6% | 10 | 10.2 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Fire Serpent Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fire-serpent-surf-k-foil) | 20.0% | $6.11 6.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 17 | 20.4 | 0.83× |
| [Sticker \| Baby Fire Serpent sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-fire-serpent) | 30.0% | $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 26 | 30.6 | 0.85× |
| [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 29.0% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 30 | 29.6 | 1.01× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10064`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10064)

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $27.10 27.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC

[Sticker | Fire Serpent Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fire-serpent-surf-k-foil) Hidden $27.10 27.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.11 6.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.23x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) [Fat Retard](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Fat%20Retard) $27.10 27.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) Hidden $27.10 27.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $47.43 47.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.75x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $27.10 27.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC

[Sticker | Baby Fire Serpent sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-fire-serpent) Hidden $27.10 27.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC

[Sticker | Fire Serpent Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fire-serpent-surf-k-foil) Hidden $27.10 27.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.11 6.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.23x 2026-11-10 18:10 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) Hidden $27.10 27.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $47.43 47.43 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.75x 2026-11-10 18:10 UTC

[Sticker | Fire Serpent Surf K (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fire-serpent-surf-k-foil) Hidden $27.10 27.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.11 6.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.23x 2026-11-10 18:10 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) [Memo](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Memo) $27.10 27.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:10 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $27.10 | 90.00% | 11 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.4% epic 0.3% covert 0.3% classified 10.0% blue 10.0% exotic 20.0% Rare 30.0% #B0C3D9 29.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
