--- title: "HumanTripod case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "HumanTripod ($22.11) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 13.63% over 85 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10067 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [HumanTripod](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10067) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · HumanTripod A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10067?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10067?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10067) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10067?window=all) Price · $22.11 · 22.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $19.90 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 13.63% · 85 openings, odds method Variance · 119.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 476 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 73 openings · below min 30 days · 85 openings · below min since tracking started · 85 openings · below min -0.5% 339.5% 679.5% **Small sample.** 85 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10067?window=24h) | 10 | 0.21% ±678.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10067?window=7d) | 73 | 15.82% ±251.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10067) | 85 | 13.63% ±232.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10067?window=all) | 85 | 13.63% ±232.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 85 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $10K 10,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,035 5,035 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 25.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,000 4,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,200 2,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,100 1,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $250 250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 32.7% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× | | [Sticker \| Angry T sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-angry-t) | 60.0% | $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 60 | 51.0 | 1.18× | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 37.0% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 24 | 31.4 | 0.76× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10067`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10067) [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $22.11 22.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC [Sticker | Angry T sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-angry-t) Hidden $22.11 22.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC [Sticker | Angry T sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-angry-t) Hidden $22.11 22.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) [Firsty91](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Firsty91) $22.11 22.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC [Sticker | Angry T sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-angry-t) Hidden $22.11 22.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 04:49 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $22.11 22.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:59 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $22.11 22.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:49 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $22.11 22.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:49 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $22.11 22.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:49 UTC [Sticker | Angry T sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-angry-t) Hidden $22.11 22.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.10 0.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 15:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $22.11 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.9% extraordinary 0.1% Rare 60.0% #B0C3D9 37.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt