--- title: "Joonxo case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Joonxo ($151.80) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 16 items with odds, observed 1.53% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10069 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Joonxo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10069) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Joonxo A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10069?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10069?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10069) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10069?window=all) Price · $151.80 · 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $136.55 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 1.53% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 27.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 3 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min -0.5% 299.5% 599.5% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10069?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10069?window=7d) | 3 | 1.53% ±597.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10069) | 4 | 1.53% ±517.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10069?window=all) | 4 | 1.53% ±517.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $17.4K 17,367 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 5,000 | $15.2K 15,162 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 3,333 | $13.9K 13,866 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 3,333 | $11.2K 11,159 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,358 8,358 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,935 7,935 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 500 | $4,671 4,671 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 200 | $4,574 4,574 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $3,856 3,856 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 200 | $3,707 3,707 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,343 1,343 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 100 | $970 970 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $891 891 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $46.28 46.28 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) | 80.0% | $2.33 2.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.25× | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 1 in 10 | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10069`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10069) [Sticker | Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) Hidden $152 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.33 2.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 02:19 UTC [Sticker | Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) Hidden $152 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.33 2.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 02:19 UTC [Sticker | Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) Hidden $152 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.33 2.33 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 02:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $152 | 89.95% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% covert 3.9% legendary 1.1% Ancient 5.0% #8847ff 80.0% #B0C3D9 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt