---
title: "Master Chef case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Master Chef ($152.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 18 items with odds, observed 115.53% over 6 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1007
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Master Chef](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1007)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Master Chef

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1007?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1007?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1007) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1007?window=all)

Price · $152.00 · 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $136.81 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 115.53% · 6 openings, odds method

Variance · 17.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 26 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 6 openings · below min

30 days · 6 openings · below min

since tracking started · 6 openings · below min

-0.5% 226.8% 454.0%

**Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1007?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1007?window=7d) | 6 | 115.53% ±338.1 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1007) | 6 | 115.53% ±338.1 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1007?window=all) | 6 | 115.53% ±338.1 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $15K 15,044 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $9,986 9,986 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,166 6,166 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $2,478 2,478 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,256 1,256 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $690 690 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-freehand-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $250 250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $143 143 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $77.19 77.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $62.73 62.73 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $32.04 32.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $32.00 32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-well-worn) | 10.0% | $6.23 6.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $3.39 3.39 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Chef Kiss (Tracer Yellow) graffiti · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-chef-kiss-tracer-yellow) | 10.0% | $0.27 0.27 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AUG \| Contractor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 1 in 13 | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1007`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $152 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN $690 690 CSGOBIG\_COIN 4.54x 2026-11-09 04:50 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1007)

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) Hidden $152 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN $32.04 32.04 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-09 04:50 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Marina (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-well-worn) Hidden $152 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.23 6.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-09 04:50 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $152 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.99x 2026-11-09 04:50 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $152 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN $143 143 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.94x 2026-11-09 04:50 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-field-tested) [tody](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/tody) $152 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN $32.00 32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.21x 2026-11-09 04:50 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $152 152 CSGOBIG\_COIN $690 690 CSGOBIG\_COIN 4.54x 2026-11-09 04:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $152 | 90.01% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.1% covert 41.7% gold 4.3% classified 24.0% restricted 10.0% #B0C3D9 17.4% #777777 2.5% best hit $690 (4.54x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
