--- title: "Shmoney Show case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Shmoney Show ($198.60) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 9 items with odds, observed 187.38% over 54 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10075 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Shmoney Show](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10075) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Shmoney Show A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10075?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10075?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10075) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10075?window=all) Price · $198.60 · 199 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $178.71 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 187.38% · 54 openings, odds method Variance · 50.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 200 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 50 openings · below min 30 days · 54 openings · below min since tracking started · 54 openings · below min -0.5% 200.0% 400.5% **Small sample.** 54 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10075?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10075?window=7d) | 50 | 202.30% ±197.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10075) | 54 | 187.38% ±190.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10075?window=all) | 54 | 187.38% ±190.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 54 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $20K 20,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 28.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 400 | $16.8K 16,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 23.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $6,800 6,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $3,000 3,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $2,700 2,700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Sticker \| Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) | 94.9% | $1.80 1.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 53 | 51.2 | 1.03× | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 1 in 1,000 | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10075`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) Hidden $199 199 CSGOBIG\_COIN $20K 20,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN 100.7x 2026-11-08 23:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10075) [Sticker | Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) Hidden $199 199 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.80 1.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 18:20 UTC [Sticker | Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) Hidden $199 199 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.80 1.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 18:20 UTC [Sticker | Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) Hidden $199 199 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.80 1.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 18:20 UTC [Sticker | Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) Hidden $199 199 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.80 1.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 18:20 UTC [Sticker | Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) Hidden $199 199 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.80 1.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:09 UTC [Sticker | Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) Hidden $199 199 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.80 1.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:09 UTC [Sticker | Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) Hidden $199 199 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.80 1.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:09 UTC [Sticker | Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) Hidden $199 199 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.80 1.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:09 UTC [Sticker | Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) Hidden $199 199 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.80 1.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:09 UTC [Sticker | Kimberly (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly-holo-2) Hidden $199 199 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.80 1.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $199 | 89.98% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 1.7% covert 1.3% covert knife 2.0% remarkable 94.9% #B0C3D9 0.1% best hit $20K (100.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt