--- title: "JohnCS case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "JohnCS ($1,220.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 13 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10076 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [JohnCS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10076) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · JohnCS A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10076?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10076?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10076) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10076?window=all) Price · $1,220.00 · 1,220 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,098.00 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 54.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 167 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10076?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10076?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10076) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/10076?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $221K 220,600 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 500 | $100K 100,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333 | $50K 50,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 250 | $20K 20,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $15K 15,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $13.5K 13,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 83 | $10K 10,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) | 1 in 67 | $4,700 4,700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $2,000 2,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 53 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $750 750 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Salty (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-salty-holo) | 90.0% | $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 1 in 10,000 | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=10076`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=10076) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,220 | 90.00% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.0% legendary 0.2% remarkable 91.9% high 1.5% mil spec 1.4% #B0C3D9 0.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt