---
title: "Blueprint case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Blueprint ($7.20) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 51.55% over 195 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1009
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Blueprint](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1009)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Blueprint

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1009?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1009?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1009) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1009?window=all)

Price · $7.20 · 7.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $6.48 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 51.55% · 195 openings, odds method

Variance · 402.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 556 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 14 openings · below min

7 days · 165 openings · below min

30 days · 195 openings · below min

since tracking started · 195 openings · below min

-0.5% 526.5% 1053.5%

**Small sample.** 195 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1009?window=24h) | 14 | 1.51% ±1051.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1009?window=7d) | 165 | 53.89% ±306.2 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1009) | 195 | 51.55% ±281.6 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1009?window=all) | 195 | 51.55% ±281.6 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 195 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $11.3K 11,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Gungnir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,500 7,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,800 3,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,850 1,850 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 5,000 | $980 980 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,667 | $585 585 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,667 | $425 425 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $318 318 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 1,429 | $306 306 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $174 174 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Cologne 2016 Overpass Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cologne-2016-overpass-souvenir-package) | 1 in 200 | $132 132 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.2% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Undertow (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-undertow-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.3% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.28× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $40.73 40.73 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.1% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.28× |
| [Sticker \| Ocean Sunset Stabbyfish sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ocean-sunset-stabbyfish) | 40.0% | $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 76 | 78.0 | 0.97× |
| [AUG \| Contractor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-battle-scarred) | 13.8% | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 32 | 26.8 | 1.19× |
| [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 41.3% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 75 | 80.4 | 0.93× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1009`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1009)

[Sticker | Ocean Sunset Stabbyfish sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ocean-sunset-stabbyfish) Hidden $7.20 7.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 08:39 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $7.20 7.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:39 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $7.20 7.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:39 UTC

[Sticker | Ocean Sunset Stabbyfish sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ocean-sunset-stabbyfish) Hidden $7.20 7.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:48 UTC

[Sticker | Ocean Sunset Stabbyfish sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ocean-sunset-stabbyfish) Hidden $7.20 7.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:48 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $7.20 7.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:48 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $7.20 7.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:48 UTC

[Sticker | Ocean Sunset Stabbyfish sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ocean-sunset-stabbyfish) Hidden $7.20 7.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC

[AUG | Contractor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.20 7.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) [Drepound](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Drepound) $7.20 7.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.20 | 90.00% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.2% rare 0.1% extraordinary 0.3% Base Grade 0.5% Legendary 1.6% Classified 2.4% high 40.0% #777777 13.8% #B0C3D9 41.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt