---
title: "Monopoly Money case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Monopoly Money ($62.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 15 items with odds, observed 117.07% over 12 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1011
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Monopoly Money](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1011)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Monopoly Money

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1011?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1011?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1011) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1011?window=all)

Price · $62.00 · 62 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $55.80 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 117.07% · 12 openings, odds method

Variance · 71.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 26 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 8 openings · below min

7 days · 10 openings · below min

30 days · 12 openings · below min

since tracking started · 12 openings · below min

-0.5% 340.3% 681.0%

**Small sample.** 12 openings and 0.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1011?window=24h) | 8 | 95.97% ±584.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1011?window=7d) | 10 | 88.07% ±522.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1011) | 12 | 117.07% ±477.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1011?window=all) | 12 | 117.07% ±477.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $44K 44,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $10.1K 10,057 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,161 4,161 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $1,460 1,460 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $950 950 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $435 435 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $325 325 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.6% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $150 150 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Cologne 2016 Overpass Souvenir Package container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cologne-2016-overpass-souvenir-package) | 1 in 14 | $90.00 90 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.5% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 12.0% | $69.00 69 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.8% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.08× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $15.00 15 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 12.0% | $4.00 4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.9% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.08× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-praetorian-well-worn) | 25.0% | $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [AUG \| Contractor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 22.5% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.74× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1011`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1011)

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) Hidden $62.00 62 CSGOBIG\_COIN $69.00 69 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.11x 2026-11-11 10:39 UTC

[Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) Hidden $62.00 62 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.00 4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 10:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) Hidden $62.00 62 CSGOBIG\_COIN $69.00 69 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.11x 2026-11-11 10:39 UTC

[Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) Hidden $62.00 62 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.00 4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 10:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-praetorian-well-worn) Hidden $62.00 62 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 10:39 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [rax](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/rax) $62.00 62 CSGOBIG\_COIN $325 325 CSGOBIG\_COIN 5.24x 2026-11-11 10:39 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $62.00 62 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:18 UTC

[Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) Hidden $62.00 62 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.00 4 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 03:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-praetorian-well-worn) Hidden $62.00 62 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.00 1 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 12:49 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) Hidden $62.00 62 CSGOBIG\_COIN $69.00 69 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.11x 2026-11-05 16:29 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $62.00 | 90.00% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 15.6% extraordinary 5.1% classified 5.2% Base Grade 7.1% pink 12.0% #8847FF 25.0% #777777 7.5% #B0C3D9 22.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt