--- title: "Golden Hour case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Golden Hour ($400.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.93% from 12 items with odds, observed 150.16% over 18 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1014 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Golden Hour](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1014) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Golden Hour A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1014?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1014?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1014) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1014?window=all) Price · $400.00 · 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.93% · EV $359.74 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 150.16% · 18 openings, odds method Variance · 22.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 185.0% 370.5% **Small sample.** 18 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1014?window=24h) | 18 | 150.16% ±219.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1014?window=7d) | 18 | 150.16% ±219.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1014) | 18 | 150.16% ±219.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1014?window=all) | 18 | 150.16% ±219.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $17K 16,975 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 23.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $12.6K 12,555 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $10.8K 10,831 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $8,898 8,898 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $6,650 6,650 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $5,475 5,475 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $4,161 4,161 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.8% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $2,900 2,900 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $2,000 2,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,500 1,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AUG \| Contractor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-battle-scarred) | 23.8% | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 4.3 | 0.00× | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 71.2% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 16 | 12.8 | 1.25× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1014`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) Hidden $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6,650 6,650 CSGOBIG\_COIN 16.63x 2026-11-10 23:09 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) Hidden $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4,161 4,161 CSGOBIG\_COIN 10.40x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1014) [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) Hidden $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4,161 4,161 CSGOBIG\_COIN 10.40x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) [Getty](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Getty) $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:09 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:09 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:09 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $400 400 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $400 | 89.93% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% extraordinary 1.5% epic 0.5% legendary 1.0% high 0.5% restricted 0.5% #777777 23.8% #B0C3D9 71.2% best hit $6,650 (16.63x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.93 on average: an expected loss of $10.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt