---
title: "Inferno case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Inferno ($7.56) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 53.03% over 34 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1023
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Inferno](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1023)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Inferno

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1023?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1023?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1023) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1023?window=all)

Price · $7.56 · 7.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $6.80 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 53.03% · 34 openings, odds method

Variance · 79.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 14 openings · below min

7 days · 31 openings · below min

30 days · 34 openings · below min

since tracking started · 34 openings · below min

-0.5% 266.0% 532.5%

**Small sample.** 34 openings and 2.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1023?window=24h) | 14 | 63.47% ±468.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1023?window=7d) | 31 | 51.27% ±314.6 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1023) | 34 | 53.03% ±300.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1023?window=all) | 34 | 53.03% ±300.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 34 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,440 3,440 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,995 2,995 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,494 2,494 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,073 2,073 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,566 1,566 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,016 1,016 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $731 731 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $482 482 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $23.94 23.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $16.32 16.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.0% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) | 10.0% | $12.32 12.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.1% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.47× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 15.0% | $7.97 7.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 17.6% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.98× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) | 15.0% | $2.89 2.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.98× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Framework (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-framework-factory-new) | 17.0% | $0.95 0.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 4 | 5.8 | 0.69× |
| [AUG \| Contractor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 8 | 3.0 | 2.63× |
| [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 26.8% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 6 | 9.1 | 0.66× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1023`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1023)

[AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) Hidden $7.56 7.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN $16.32 16.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.16x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

[AUG | Contractor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.56 7.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

[AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $7.56 7.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN $12.32 12.32 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.63x 2026-11-11 00:19 UTC

[AWP | Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) Hidden $7.56 7.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN $7.97 7.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.05x 2026-11-11 00:19 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) Hidden $7.56 7.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.89 2.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.38x 2026-11-11 00:19 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $7.56 7.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:19 UTC

[AUG | Contractor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.56 7.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:19 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Eco (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) Hidden $7.56 7.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.89 2.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.38x 2026-11-11 00:19 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $7.56 7.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:19 UTC

[AUG | Contractor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.56 7.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.56 | 90.00% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.2% Classified 0.0% classified 22.0% mil spec 10.0% restricted 15.0% Consumer Grade 17.0% #777777 8.9% #B0C3D9 26.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt