--- title: "Ancient case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Ancient ($75.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.05% from 12 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1028 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1028) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Ancient A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1028?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1028?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1028) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1028?window=all) Price · $75.00 · 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.05% · EV $67.54 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 6.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 28.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1028?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1028?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1028) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1028?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,433 4,433 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,074 3,074 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,429 1,429 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,096 1,096 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,031 | $1,047 1,047 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $626 626 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| 3DMAX (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 1,065 | $293 293 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-minimal-wear) | 11.7% | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 25.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-urban-masked-field-tested) | 15.2% | $91.18 91.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 20.8% | $48.36 48.36 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-factory-new) | 20.8% | $29.05 29.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-factory-new) | 30.4% | $19.50 19.5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1028`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1028) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $75.00 | 90.05% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.1% covert 21.0% extraordinary 0.7% Remarkable 0.1% gold 11.7% covert knife 15.2% restricted 51.2% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.05 on average: an expected loss of $9.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt