--- title: "Pistols Only case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Pistols Only ($6.65) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 20 items with odds, observed 36.86% over 21 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1033 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Pistols Only](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1033) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Pistols Only A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1033?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1033?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1033) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1033?window=all) Price · $6.65 · 6.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $5.99 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 36.86% · 21 openings, odds method Variance · 14.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 56.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 15 openings · below min 30 days · 21 openings · below min since tracking started · 21 openings · below min -0.5% 110.3% 221.0% **Small sample.** 21 openings and 1.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1033?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1033?window=7d) | 15 | 27.48% ±193.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1033) | 21 | 36.86% ±163.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1033?window=all) | 21 | 36.86% ±163.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 21 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,529 1,529 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $757 757 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new-2) | 1 in 5,000 | $547 547 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $424 424 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-hand-cannon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $241 241 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Whiteout (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $182 182 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $135 135 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $83.03 83.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $58.97 58.97 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [P250 \| Undertow (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $35.93 35.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $26.93 26.93 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $16.20 16.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [P250 \| Mehndi (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $10.56 10.56 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 15.0% | $8.14 8.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 20.4% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.63× | | [P250 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $6.92 6.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 23.1% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× | | [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) | 10.0% | $2.12 2.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.95× | | [USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.64 0.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.95× | | [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.22 0.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 6 | 4.2 | 1.43× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 11.0% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.73× | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 1 in 244 | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1033`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1033) [P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) [Mewtuber](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Mewtuber) $6.65 6.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.92 6.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.04x 2026-11-06 22:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Weasel (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-well-worn) [Mewtuber](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Mewtuber) $6.65 6.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.22 0.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-06 22:39 UTC [Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) Hidden $6.65 6.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.12 2.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-06 22:39 UTC [USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $6.65 6.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.64 0.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-06 22:39 UTC [P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.65 6.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.92 6.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.04x 2026-11-06 22:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Weasel (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-well-worn) Hidden $6.65 6.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.22 0.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-06 22:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Weasel (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-well-worn) Hidden $6.65 6.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.22 0.22 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-05 13:29 UTC [P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.65 6.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.92 6.92 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.04x 2026-11-05 13:29 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $6.65 6.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 13:29 UTC [Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) Hidden $6.65 6.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2.12 2.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.32x 2026-11-05 13:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.65 | 90.00% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 15.1% rare 0.0% Restricted 0.1% mil spec 0.2% classified 31.5% Ancient 0.7% covert 16.0% #d32ee6 5.0% violet 20.0% consumer 11.0% #B0C3D9 0.4% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt