---
title: "Clutch case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Clutch ($1.87) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 26 items with odds, observed 37.90% over 161 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1036
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:22Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Clutch](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1036)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Clutch

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1036?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1036?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1036) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1036?window=all)

Price · $1.87 · 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1.68 from 26 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 37.90% · 161 openings, odds method

Variance · 584.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 769 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 24 openings · below min

7 days · 148 openings · below min

30 days · 161 openings · below min

since tracking started · 161 openings · below min

-0.5% 500.0% 1000.5%

**Small sample.** 161 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1036?window=24h) | 24 | 32.69% ±967.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1036?window=7d) | 148 | 37.11% ±389.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1036) | 161 | 37.90% ±373.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1036?window=all) | 161 | 37.90% ±373.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 26 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 161 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,018 4,018 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 23.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,725 1,725 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $876 876 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $378 378 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $228 228 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $166 166 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $133 133 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $105 105 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $80.07 80.07 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $53.79 53.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $30.13 30.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $19.99 19.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $9.64 9.64 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.9% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $6.91 6.91 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.24× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $5.12 5.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.62× |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1.94 1.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.83× |
| [Nova \| Wild Six (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $1.13 1.13 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 13 | 6.4 | 2.02× |
| [Negev \| Lionfish (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1.05 1.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 5 | 8.1 | 0.62× |
| [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.77 0.77 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 7 | 9.7 | 0.72× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Grip (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $0.24 0.24 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 14 | 12.9 | 1.09× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 18 | 14.5 | 1.24× |
| [XM1014 \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 26 | 16.1 | 1.61× |
| [SG 553 \| Aloha (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-factory-new) | 13.0% | $0.18 0.18 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 21 | 20.9 | 1.00× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.05 0.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 20 | 24.1 | 0.83× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-field-tested) | 12.0% | $0.03 0.03 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 10 | 19.3 | 0.52× |
| [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 10.4% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.1% | 16 | 16.8 | 0.95× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1036`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1036)

[Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.77 0.77 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.41x 2026-11-11 12:09 UTC

[XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:09 UTC

[XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:09 UTC

[Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-factory-new) Hidden $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1.05 1.05 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.56x 2026-11-11 12:09 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-factory-new) Hidden $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.23 0.23 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-11 12:09 UTC

[XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:09 UTC

[XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:09 UTC

[XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.19 0.19 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:09 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:09 UTC

[Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.87 1.87 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.77 0.77 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.41x 2026-11-11 12:09 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.87 | 90.00% | 26 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.3% epic 0.0% covert 0.1% Legendary 0.8% Ancient 0.5% classified 1.0% #8847ff 2.0% restricted 12.0% Mythical 6.0% mil spec 33.0% milspec 9.0% blue 13.0% #4b69ff 12.0% #B0C3D9 10.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
