--- title: "Kraken case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Kraken ($88.80) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 21 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1043 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Kraken](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1043) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Kraken A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1043?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1043?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1043) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1043?window=all) Price · $88.80 · 88.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $79.92 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 150.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 49 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1043?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1043?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1043) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1043?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $63.3K 63,257 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 15.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $34.8K 34,829 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $3,628 3,628 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 909 | $1,350 1,350 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $1,250 1,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $1,034 1,034 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $968 968 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $720 720 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $572 572 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $487 487 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $260 260 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $195 195 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $139 139 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $120 120 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $94.74 94.74 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $47.16 47.16 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $27.61 27.61 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $20.45 20.45 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pink-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $13.81 13.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Akihabara Accept Surf Ava (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-akihabara-accept-surf-ava-foil) | 25.0% | $5.00 5 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 26.9% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1043`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1043) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $88.80 | 90.00% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% covert 17.7% gold 0.3% covert knife 2.0% Immortal 5.0% Covert 10.0% classified 5.0% #8847FF 8.0% exotic 25.0% #B0C3D9 26.9% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt