--- title: "Reaper case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Reaper ($250.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 17 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1044 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Reaper](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1044) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Reaper A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1044?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1044?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1044) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1044?window=all) Price · $250.00 · 250 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $225.00 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 6.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 64.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1044?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1044?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1044) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1044?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $42.9K 42,878 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 3,333 | $11.2K 11,158 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $7,374 7,374 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $6,269 6,269 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $2,074 2,074 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,625 1,625 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,430 1,430 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 50 | $1,363 1,363 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $848 848 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $548 548 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $417 417 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $308 308 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 10.0% | $274 274 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $96.86 96.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-field-tested) | 13.0% | $49.10 49.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $19.47 19.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 21.4% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1044`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1044) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $250 | 90.00% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 20.4% legendary 0.0% extraordinary 19.1% rare 6.0% Ancient 13.0% classified 20.0% #B0C3D9 21.4% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt