--- title: "Bloodlust case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Bloodlust ($28.65) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 11 items with odds, observed 39.64% over 14 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1047 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Bloodlust](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1047) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Bloodlust A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1047?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1047?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1047) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1047?window=all) Price · $28.65 · 28.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $25.78 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 39.64% · 14 openings, odds method Variance · 44.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 41 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 81.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 9 openings · below min 30 days · 14 openings · below min since tracking started · 14 openings · below min -0.5% 356.8% 714.0% **Small sample.** 14 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1047?window=24h) | 4 | 60.13% ±653.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1047?window=7d) | 9 | 51.95% ±435.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1047) | 14 | 39.64% ±349.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1047?window=all) | 14 | 39.64% ±349.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $14.5K 14,532 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $2,500 2,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 19.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $500 500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $280 280 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $85.00 85 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $75.00 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $65.00 65 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $30.00 30 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.1% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Styx (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $25.00 25 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× | | [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Battle-Scarred) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $3.89 3.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.8% | 1 | 3.5 | 0.29× | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 48.6% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 10 | 6.8 | 1.47× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1047`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1047) [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $28.65 28.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:49 UTC [AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Battle-Scarred) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.65 28.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $3.89 3.89 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-11 10:19 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $28.65 28.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:19 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $28.65 28.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $65.00 65 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.27x 2026-11-11 04:49 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $28.65 28.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 06:39 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $28.65 28.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $65.00 65 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.27x 2026-11-10 06:39 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $28.65 28.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 13:19 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $28.65 28.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 13:19 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $28.65 28.65 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 13:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $28.65 | 89.98% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 16.7% classified 0.2% #ffd700 1.5% restricted 8.0% light blue 25.0% #B0C3D9 48.6% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt