--- title: "Oblivion case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Oblivion ($635.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 18 items with odds, observed 139.11% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1049 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Oblivion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1049) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Oblivion A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1049?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1049?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1049) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1049?window=all) Price · $635.00 · 635 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $571.33 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 139.11% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 4.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 156.8% 314.0% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1049?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1049?window=7d) | 6 | 139.11% ±174.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1049) | 6 | 139.11% ±174.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1049?window=all) | 6 | 139.11% ±174.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $22.3K 22,275 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $19K 19,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $16K 16,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $13.5K 13,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $12K 12,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 1,000 | $10.5K 10,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $9,000 9,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 333 | $7,000 7,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $6,000 6,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $5,000 5,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $3,500 3,500 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $2,800 2,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.8% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $2,150 2,150 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 25 | $1,200 1,200 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $1,100 1,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $700 700 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.8% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $100 100 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 42.0% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.79× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1049`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $635 635 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2,800 2,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN 4.41x 2026-11-05 21:59 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) [Dabbed | 7k weekly LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Dabbed%20%7C%207k%20weekly%20LB) $635 635 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,100 1,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.73x 2026-11-05 21:59 UTC [★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $635 635 CSGOBIG\_COIN $700 700 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.10x 2026-11-05 21:59 UTC [★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $635 635 CSGOBIG\_COIN $700 700 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.10x 2026-11-05 21:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1049) [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $635 635 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 21:59 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $635 635 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 21:59 UTC [★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $635 635 CSGOBIG\_COIN $700 700 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.10x 2026-11-05 21:59 UTC [★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $635 635 CSGOBIG\_COIN $700 700 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.10x 2026-11-05 21:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $635 635 CSGOBIG\_COIN $2,800 2,800 CSGOBIG\_COIN 4.41x 2026-11-05 21:59 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) [Dabbed | 7k weekly LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/Dabbed%20%7C%207k%20weekly%20LB) $635 635 CSGOBIG\_COIN $1,100 1,100 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.73x 2026-11-05 21:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $635 | 89.97% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 1.1% legendary 3.0% covert 22.5% epic 0.3% knifes 1.0% classified 30.0% #B0C3D9 42.0% best hit $2,800 (4.41x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt