--- title: "Disco case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Disco ($4.14) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.96% from 14 items with odds, observed 118.53% over 11 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1050 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Disco](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1050) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Disco A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1050?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1050?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1050) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1050?window=all) Price · $4.14 · 4.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.96% · EV $3.72 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 118.53% · 11 openings, odds method Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 27.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 43.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 11 openings · below min 30 days · 11 openings · below min since tracking started · 11 openings · below min 47.5% 118.5% 189.5% **Small sample.** 11 openings and 3.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1050?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1050?window=7d) | 11 | 118.53% ±70.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1050) | 11 | 118.53% ±70.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1050?window=all) | 11 | 118.53% ±70.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 11 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fairy-tale-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $187 187 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $143 143 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $129 129 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $98.40 98.4 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $73.49 73.49 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $27.88 27.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $14.79 14.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $10.73 10.73 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 14.4% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $6.98 6.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Battle-Scarred) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $5.86 5.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 23.6% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.82× | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $5.31 5.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Sticker \| Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) | 25.0% | $4.34 4.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 29.1% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.73× | | [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Cirrus (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-cirrus-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.47 0.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.73× | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 17.9% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1050`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1050) [StatTrak™ MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-cirrus-field-tested) Hidden $4.14 4.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.47 0.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-07 22:50 UTC [StatTrak™ MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-cirrus-field-tested) Hidden $4.14 4.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.47 0.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-07 22:50 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) [RTZ l S2LuKes](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/RTZ%20l%20S2LuKes) $4.14 4.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 22:50 UTC [Sticker | Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) [RTZ l S2LuKes](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/RTZ%20l%20S2LuKes) $4.14 4.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.34 4.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.05x 2026-11-07 22:50 UTC [AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Battle-Scarred) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.14 4.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.86 5.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.42x 2026-11-06 20:49 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) Hidden $4.14 4.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.73 10.73 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.59x 2026-11-06 20:49 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) Hidden $4.14 4.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $10.73 10.73 CSGOBIG\_COIN 2.59x 2026-11-06 20:49 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.14 4.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.31 5.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.28x 2026-11-06 20:49 UTC [AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Battle-Scarred) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.14 4.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.86 5.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.42x 2026-11-06 03:09 UTC [Sticker | Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) Hidden $4.14 4.14 CSGOBIG\_COIN $4.34 4.34 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.05x 2026-11-05 01:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.14 | 89.96% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 6.0% extraordinary 0.0% covert 1.0% pink 5.0% light blue 15.0% Ancient 5.0% #8847ff 25.0% Rare 25.0% #B0C3D9 17.9% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.96 on average: an expected loss of $10.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt