---
title: "Pizza case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Pizza ($20.31) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.01% from 19 items with odds, observed 101.74% over 14 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1052
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Pizza](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1052)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Pizza

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1052?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1052?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1052) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1052?window=all)

Price · $20.31 · 20.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 90.01% · EV $18.28 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 101.74% · 14 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 8 openings · below min

30 days · 14 openings · below min

since tracking started · 14 openings · below min

-0.5% 108.0% 216.5%

**Small sample.** 14 openings and 1.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1052?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1052?window=7d) | 8 | 68.01% ±148.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1052) | 14 | 101.74% ±111.9 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1052?window=all) | 14 | 101.74% ±111.9 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $803 803 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $441 441 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Minimal Wear) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $391 391 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $293 293 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $246 246 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $186 186 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $149 149 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 250 | $120 120 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $110 110 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Night (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-night-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $95.28 95.28 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $89.26 89.26 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-fire-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 143 | $69.79 69.79 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $64.20 64.2 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $36.99 36.99 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $33.94 33.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.3% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-field-tested) | 15.0% | $22.98 22.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.9% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.95× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) | 20.0% | $11.86 11.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.0% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.43× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) | 25.0% | $9.00 9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 12.3% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× |
| [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 27.7% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1052`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1052)

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) [SKY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/SKY) $20.31 20.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN $33.94 33.94 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.67x 2026-11-09 03:29 UTC

[M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) Hidden $20.31 20.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN $9.00 9 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.44x 2026-11-09 03:29 UTC

[FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) Hidden $20.31 20.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN $11.86 11.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.58x 2026-11-09 03:29 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-field-tested) Hidden $20.31 20.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN $22.98 22.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.13x 2026-11-07 16:19 UTC

[FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) Hidden $20.31 20.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN $11.86 11.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.58x 2026-11-07 16:19 UTC

[FAMAS | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) [✪ meschiattiNTC|DABLIU](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/%E2%9C%AA%20meschiattiNTC%7CDABLIU) $20.31 20.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN $11.86 11.86 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.58x 2026-11-07 16:19 UTC

[PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) Hidden $20.31 20.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 16:19 UTC

[M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) Hidden $20.31 20.31 CSGOBIG\_COIN $9.00 9 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.44x 2026-11-05 09:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.31 | 90.01% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed rare 0.1% covert 6.5% Extraordinary 0.2% classified 42.4% gold 0.4% covert knife 0.5% Covert 0.5% #eb4b4b 0.7% Mil Spec Grade 1.0% restricted 20.0% #B0C3D9 27.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.01 on average: an expected loss of $9.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt