--- title: "Western case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Western ($330.74) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1054 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Western](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1054) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Western A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1054?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1054?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1054) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1054?window=all) Price · $330.74 · 331 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $297.66 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 27.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 48.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1054?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1054?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1054) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1054?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $1,814 1,814 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $1,255 1,255 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $973 973 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $775 775 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $684 684 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 15.0% | $488 488 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 20.0% | $409 409 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 27.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $365 365 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $99.80 99.8 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 10.0% | $75.00 75 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 20.0% | $49.95 49.95 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 13.0% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1054`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1054) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $331 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 74.0% #ffd700 3.0% classified 5.0% extraordinary 5.0% #B0C3D9 13.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt