--- title: "Crystal Collar case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Crystal Collar ($81.10) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 18 items with odds, observed 70.15% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1060 rendered: 2026-11-11T15:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Crystal Collar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1060) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Crystal Collar A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1060?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1060?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1060) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1060?window=all) Price · $81.10 · 81.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $72.95 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 70.15% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 4.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 67.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 120.8% 242.0% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1060?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1060?window=7d) | 6 | 70.15% ±171.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1060) | 6 | 70.15% ±171.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1060?window=all) | 6 | 70.15% ±171.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,127 5,127 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,948 1,948 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,403 1,403 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,246 1,246 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-cologne-2014) | 1 in 500 | $1,114 1,114 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $855 855 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $659 659 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $386 386 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $346 346 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $299 299 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $245 245 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $198 198 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Redline (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $124 124 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 10.0% | $97.42 97.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.4% | 3 | 0.6 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $24.55 24.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.4% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.33× | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Isaac (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-isaac-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $9.88 9.88 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 27.8% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1060`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1060) [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) Hidden $81.10 81.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $97.42 97.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.20x 2026-11-08 03:59 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) Hidden $81.10 81.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $24.55 24.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.30x 2026-11-08 03:59 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) Hidden $81.10 81.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $97.42 97.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.20x 2026-11-08 03:59 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) Hidden $81.10 81.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $24.55 24.55 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.30x 2026-11-08 03:59 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) Hidden $81.10 81.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $97.42 97.42 CSGOBIG\_COIN 1.20x 2026-11-08 03:59 UTC [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) [waterland](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgobig/waterland) $81.10 81.1 CSGOBIG\_COIN $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 03:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $81.10 | 89.95% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 25.8% remarkable 0.2% rare 0.2% classified 31.0% mil spec 15.0% #B0C3D9 27.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt