--- title: "Gummy Gain case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Gummy Gain ($420.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 22 items with odds, observed 0.96% over 7 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1061 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Gummy Gain](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1061) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Gummy Gain A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1061?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1061?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1061) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1061?window=all) Price · $420.00 · 420 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $377.93 from 22 items Observed RTP, 30d · 0.96% · 7 openings, odds method Variance · 140.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 500 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 7 openings · below min since tracking started · 7 openings · below min -0.5% 439.0% 878.5% **Small sample.** 7 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1061?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1061?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1061) | 7 | 0.96% ±876.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1061?window=all) | 7 | 0.96% ±876.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $125K 125,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus - 4x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-4x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $100K 100,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir - 3x IBP (Factory New) weapon · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-3x-ibp-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $90K 90,000 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $70.1K 70,107 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $54.7K 54,708 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $42.1K 42,064 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $40.5K 40,506 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $35.1K 35,069 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 2,000 | $28K 28,043 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 2,000 | $25.2K 25,250 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $22.4K 22,434 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $19.3K 19,334 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $16.7K 16,685 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $14.3K 14,299 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $13.6K 13,607 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $12.6K 12,619 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $10.9K 10,926 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $9,118 9,118 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $7,949 7,949 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $7,251 7,251 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Sticker Bomb Surf Ava (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sticker-bomb-surf-ava-foil) | 58.0% | $9.38 9.38 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.74× | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 41.0% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.39× | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1061`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1061) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $420 | 89.98% | 22 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% #EB4B4B 0.1% covert 0.5% remarkable 0.1% extraordinary 0.1% exotic 58.0% #B0C3D9 41.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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