---
title: "Space Sticker case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Space Sticker ($1,959.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 20 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1062
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Space Sticker](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1062)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Space Sticker

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1062?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1062?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1062) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1062?window=all)

Price · $1,959.00 · 1,959 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $1,762.51 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 24.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 45.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1062?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1062?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1062) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1062?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [EMS Katowice 2014 Challengers other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-challengers) | 1 in 10,000 | $29K 29,007 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 3,333 | $25.2K 25,238 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $20.8K 20,752 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $15.3K 15,283 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $13.3K 13,319 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $11.2K 11,217 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 500 | $9,703 9,703 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $8,413 8,413 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $7,642 7,642 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $6,013 6,013 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $5,609 5,609 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $4,900 4,900 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $4,471 4,471 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $4,052 4,052 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $3,560 3,560 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2,972 2,972 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 15.0% | $2,507 2,507 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 21.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 15.0% | $1,991 1,991 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 16.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 10.0% | $996 996 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 35.7% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1062`, 11 Nov, 13:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1062)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1,959 | 89.97% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed base 0.0% covert 20.0% extraordinary 6.1% contraband 0.4% legendary 0.8% #EB4B4B 2.0% classified 10.0% covert knife 15.0% epic 10.0% #B0C3D9 35.7%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
