--- title: "Lotus Fishing case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Lotus Fishing ($143.20) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 25 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1064 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [Lotus Fishing](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1064) # [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · Lotus Fishing A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1064?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1064?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1064) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1064?window=all) Price · $143.20 · 143 CSGOBIG\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $128.84 from 25 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 7.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1064?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1064?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1064) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1064?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $19.6K 19,560 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $8,978 8,978 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $7,949 7,949 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $4,797 4,797 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $3,984 3,984 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,948 1,948 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $1,695 1,695 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $1,445 1,445 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 286 | $1,139 1,139 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $981 981 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $722 722 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 11.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $628 628 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $527 527 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $491 491 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $421 421 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $343 343 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $294 294 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $196 196 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $153 153 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $96.09 96.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $70.12 70.12 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) | 14.0% | $56.11 56.11 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-well-worn) | 15.0% | $30.72 30.72 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-field-tested) | 15.0% | $14.09 14.09 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-battle-scarred-2) | 16.9% | $0.01 0.01 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1064`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1064) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $143 | 89.97% | 25 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.9% epic 0.0% covert 44.0% classified 15.2% covert knife 1.0% rare 3.0% gold 5.0% red 14.0% #B0C3D9 16.9% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt