---
title: "City Lights case on CSGOBig: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "City Lights ($50.00) on CSGOBig, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 15 items with odds, observed 28.17% over 3 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1065
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) / [City Lights](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1065)

# [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) · City Lights

A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1065?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1065?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1065) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1065?window=all)

Price · $50.00 · 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $44.98 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 28.17% · 3 openings, odds method

Variance · 57.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 3 openings · below min

30 days · 3 openings · below min

since tracking started · 3 openings · below min

-0.5% 441.5% 883.5%

**Small sample.** 3 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1065?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1065?window=7d) | 3 | 28.17% ±854.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1065) | 3 | 28.17% ±854.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1065?window=all) | 3 | 28.17% ±854.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $10.8K 10,833 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 24.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,146 4,146 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,764 2,764 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,021 | $991 991 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,017 | $291 291 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 548 | $147 147 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $92.47 92.47 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 18.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sticker \| apEX (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apex-foil-cologne-2016) | 12.3% | $49.75 49.75 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 13.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 15.6% | $29.70 29.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 10.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 11.2% | $19.90 19.9 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) | 10.0% | $14.53 14.53 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 3.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-ghost-crusader-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $11.21 11.21 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $8.81 8.81 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $6.98 6.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 1.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-battle-scarred) | 19.0% | $5.58 5.58 CSGOBIG\_COIN | 2.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |

Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=1065`, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgobig&case=1065)

[AUG | Chameleon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-battle-scarred) Hidden $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN $5.58 5.58 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-05 11:49 UTC

[MAC-10 | Propaganda (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN $6.98 6.98 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-05 11:49 UTC

[USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 50 CSGOBIG\_COIN $29.70 29.7 CSGOBIG\_COIN 0.59x 2026-11-05 11:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $50.00 | 89.95% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 7.8% covert knife 9.1% exotic 12.3% mil spec 15.6% restricted 11.2% pink 10.0% Restricted 8.7% #d32ee6 6.3% red 19.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt